Yup, I don’t really care that it’s an OP at range. It shows the progression that completely makes sense based on Ens and pattern evolvement. I also love the 50/50 low on the OP.
Wow, so basically this "can kicking its time to punt all of January" is turning out to be like 48 hours of "can kicking." I hope the debs can handle it.
Using an ensemble at 330 hours to look at 850mb temps? Not sure I would look that hard at this stage. I don't think ensembles would key in on things like that at this point.
That upper level feature helps to enhance upslope for the mountains at the very least. I'm not smart enough to say what it means for east of the mountains.
GFS with quite the rain maker starting Sunday. Basically occludes and stalls over the Mid Atlantic. 2-4”+ area wide.
Gotta think with this active STJ, we’ll score with a significant snowstorm once we get some help from the pac and atl.
This is why the overreactions and fly by shit posts of “I guess we’re punting through the end of January” not only do nothing for the thread, but we’ve seen things flip regularly on the models.