nj2va
-
Posts
14,446 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by nj2va
-
GFS gets the 0.1” line just south of CHO. RIC solidly in the 0.25” zone with 0.5” south of RIC. Tough forecast there given the differences between the GFS and snowier Euro/NAM/RGEM solutions.
-
I-66 wall
-
You’ll forget it as soon as you get a snowstorm. I’m already over it...sometimes it snows here, sometimes it doesn’t.
-
Flurries get to the southern border of FFX border. ::itshappening::
-
Euro gets 0.1” just south of EZF which is about a 25 mile shift north from 12z. Hopefully meaningful for the Central VA.
-
GFS looks like its following suit of bumping the northern extent of precip north. Gets RIC in the 0.1" amounts now. Meaningless for NVA but these small shifts will have larger impacts in the southern part of the forum.
-
They did that yesterday morning up here in NVA which seemed like the K.O.D. Hopefully y’all don’t suffer a similar fate
-
No, 0.25 was south of RIC 0z so basically like 10 miles north of 0z with the precip shield though the 0.25 line was a bigger shift. Just need about 10 more runs of that to get flurries.
-
RIC is on the 0.25" line on the Euro. Brutal cutoff just north of RIC. FWIW, that is a shift north from 6z.
-
I really wish the GGEM was a good model. Has 0.5" to Woodbridge or so. ~0.2" to DC.
-
Maybe this is the year of the south trend leading up to a storm.
-
What a perfect visual of this tracking disaster
-
Time to move on. Doesn’t seem like it’ll get north of RIC on Euro.
-
FV3 is better for those in the southern part of the sub forum. Gets 0.1” to about EZF or so.
-
GGEM would be flurries at best for DC.
-
GFS says DT better make a new map. Measurable precip doesn’t even get to ROA.
-
ICON seems to be heading for a north of RIC brick wall for the precip.
-
Flurries in Centreville.
-
Seems that EZF may be the cutoff this run.
-
That is one juiced up STJ. Parts of TX/LA pushing 9” of rain
-
18z EPS precip shifted about 25 miles north. 0.1” is in Southern FFX county. I’m holding on until the bitter end.
-
Good luck down in RVA...hoping you all can see at least a few inches of snow, if not more.
-
Pretty amazing precision by the models honing in on western NC jackpot for several days. The ensembles bounced around up here in terms of the snowfall mean (seemed like a ping pong match as each model run came out) but as I think about it more, that was due to two camps that wobbled back and forth until they settled on a southern storm. We'll get ours soon enough.
-
Eek, its batting it down even more in today's run.
-
Looks like RIC will be the northern cutoff of precip on the GFS.
