nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Yeah, agree that things aren’t looking good for them. I’m at about 16” in McHenry this year where we average ~110” a year. We spent a week there over New Years and went skiing a few times. Not many trails open (~12 or so I think) & a sustained period of low 50s again like it was between Christmas & the 30th will really hurt. But any snow is good and will help them rebuild what they lost during the mild period before NYE (even if its gone after the next warm period).
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00z GFS is a boon from Sunday through middle of next week for the mountains. Ski resorts need those upslope conditions to help rebuild their pack through natural & snow making before Hades moves in the following week. Their winter economies rely on the snow/cold.
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Would have expected us to be solidly in the AN vs equal chances for BN/AN.
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Curious as well...perhaps the orientation of the trough? Still positively tilted.
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That’s what I’ve been paying attention to as well since (thanks to your research thread) and remembering something Wes (I think) talked about a few years ago, Scand ridges generally predict more favorable patterns for us even with a crap Pacific.
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This is really great, thanks for doing it. Maybe we can get a Hudson Bay ridge pop up magically to save the crap January pattern & gives us a fluke warning level storm.
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an OP run at 300 hours is going to have run over run changes.
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Specifics to be worked out but the major globals sure like a storm in the east between Christmas and New Years. 12z GFS is a big cutter but its ripe for lake effect & upslope as the low pushes east to the north of the region.
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I’d say yes seeing how things are progressing but I don’t have access to the paid sites that go past D10.
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Time for a new thread. Let’s do it.
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Nice job @yoda!
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BWI: 10/21 DCA: 11/1 IAD: 10/23 RIC: 11/3 Tie: 10.1”
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Who was that doofus the other day who posted “I expected damage to look much worse from Abasco” after the initial pictures and videos came out. I wonder what he thinks now.
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Clearly a tsunami warning is needed over turtle’s area.
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Good practice for our non-winter winter.
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You could probably be featured live for an interview on TWC at this point. “We’re going live to Goldsboro, MD where resident cane expert has been tracking from his bed for the past 24 hours. He’s also been studying canes for the past 24 hours so about 23 hours more than most of us here at TWC.”
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I wonder if Dorian would want to dance to the Wobble song.
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If you want a lesson on wishcasting go read the main thread.
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Triple what metfan should expect. 0+0+0=0
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Looks to be heading due south to me. Oops...phone was tilted the wrong way.
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Wobble is the new convective feedback term of the day.
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Just awful watching these videos coming out of the Bahamas so far.
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“There goes the lamps” — should be the least of their worries.
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Off to Sunday morning mass...will be saying my prayers for the folks in the Bahamas.
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Certainly a head scratcher to keep it at 4 but NHC is a lot smarter than me (and they aren’t drinking wine...at least hopefully they aren’t) and LOL at those saying it’s politics why NHC isn’t upgrading. Advice...step away from the constant political news cycle.
