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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. Anyone see any data recently on SST/Nina strength? DT posted something about a month ago showing some models predicting a mod Nina vs strong...hard to predict the outcomes of that but could help us in late winter. I can't remember where he pulled that from or else I'd go try to find it.
  2. LFG. The 28th storm is looking good so far. Nice H pressing down from Canada. Solid confluence. Big area of precip over TX blossoming. Oof, looks like it'll be OTS..
  3. I thought WxUSAF hit on this earlier today in the model thread....weak west coast ridging so I think it means there's a lot of s/w flying all over. I'm a dummy with weather so who knows if this is right but perhaps that changes when we get better WC ridging later this month.
  4. I wouldn’t put any stock in the SREFs honestly.
  5. 18z EPS is a nice shift north for the RIC/southern part of the forum crew.
  6. For those wondering the differences between a west or east based block, the link below is a great read: https://climate.ncsu.edu/climate/patterns/nao
  7. Never say never! RIC could see 700” of snow this year
  8. BWI: 12.9 DCA: 4.8 IAD: 14.2 RIC: 0.3 SBY: 19.2
  9. This is really great, thanks for doing it. Maybe we can get a Hudson Bay ridge pop up magically to save the crap January pattern & gives us a fluke warning level storm.
  10. Who was that doofus the other day who posted “I expected damage to look much worse from Abasco” after the initial pictures and videos came out. I wonder what he thinks now.
  11. Clearly a tsunami warning is needed over turtle’s area.
  12. You could probably be featured live for an interview on TWC at this point. “We’re going live to Goldsboro, MD where resident cane expert has been tracking from his bed for the past 24 hours. He’s also been studying canes for the past 24 hours so about 23 hours more than most of us here at TWC.”
  13. I wonder if Dorian would want to dance to the Wobble song.
  14. If you want a lesson on wishcasting go read the main thread.
  15. Triple what metfan should expect. 0+0+0=0
  16. Looks to be heading due south to me. Oops...phone was tilted the wrong way.
  17. Wobble is the new convective feedback term of the day.
  18. Just awful watching these videos coming out of the Bahamas so far.
  19. “There goes the lamps” — should be the least of their worries.
  20. Off to Sunday morning mass...will be saying my prayers for the folks in the Bahamas.
  21. Certainly a head scratcher to keep it at 4 but NHC is a lot smarter than me (and they aren’t drinking wine...at least hopefully they aren’t) and LOL at those saying it’s politics why NHC isn’t upgrading. Advice...step away from the constant political news cycle.
  22. Based on trends so far, I’d say ABQ needs to extend the WSW/advisories.
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