nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Define warm It's going to snow tonight/tomorrow morning. There's a few buds popping on trees here but for the most part things don't get "green" until next month so it still has a winter look for the most part. Average high this time of year is upper 50s. By Memorial Day its about 70. Summers here are fantastic as an escape from the UHI back home. Congrats on the place! Near the lake? Wisp? What town?
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Typical spring day at Deep Creek. Temp dropping into the mid 40s. Just had a gust to 40 MPH.
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I've been rewatching the 2019 Nats postseason games on MLB.TV -- NLDS Game 5 was such an amazing comeback.
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Had an impressive line of severe storms hit around 2a here. Lots of T&L, torrential rain, gusty winds, and hail.
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0.21" here so far today. Sun poking out right now. In more exciting news, Euro has upper 70s/80 early next week.
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Hogan has been much better than Northam I think. Granted I didn’t vote for Northam but I still don’t think he’s been particularly good.
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Absolutely miserable.
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Watching McMillions on HBO. I had no idea about the fraud!
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I thought I'd enjoy working from home but I hate it -- Zoom meetings all day long....stuck in front of a computer all day. 70+ hours last week and approaching 65 this week. I never thought I'd say this but I can't wait to go back into the office...
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So sorry to read this and I can only imagine how difficult it is for you. I will keep you in my prayers.
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2001 final four on cbssn...don't want if you're a md fan
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I'm running out of wine....send help.
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Did stories like this (which were numerous in the media) in early February after the US quarantine of China travel help? Perhaps it further caused people to think the virus was overblown and that any type of quarantine is silly? The WHO’s response was a joke as they were trying to protect China. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/news/2020/02/04/coronavirus-quaratine-travel-110750
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How anyone can trust anything coming from China is beyond me. also notice they are now trying to appear as “heroes” sending a bunch of stuff to western countries while flooding the internet with propaganda. China is a threat to democracy and human rights, plain and simple.
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I completely support the Diocese call to stop all masses a few weeks ago but I'm disappointed I won't be able to attend live mass for Palm Sunday this weekend & Easter Sunday the following weekend -- its the holiest time of the year for Christians and I always look forward to the music and rejoice at Easter Sunday mass. I do find myself spending more time on Sundays reflecting and praying for our nation while I set aside time to watch the livestream of mass on my iPad.
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This weather sucks. More clouds and chilly temps.
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Glad y’all are getting snow!
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Can we start a thread for this? It'd be helpful to separate this threat from the LR discussion.
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The only thing I’m tracking is next weekend’s potential storm. I’ve seen enough patterns D10-D15 change on a dime on the ensembles, both for better and for worse to get myself invested in hoping for an amazing pattern. January looked dreadful a few days ago and now we are hopefully looking at a flip but I still don’t put much faith in D10+ looks. I mean I’m rooting for a KU pattern just as much as the next weenie but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
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Just another OP solution 150H+ out...shifts will happen so we’ll see what the GEFS says. Considering where people expected to be 4 days ago, I’m happy we’re tracking something other than 85 degrees. I’ll be in McHenry next weekend for this so rooting for high as impact as possible.
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As you (or PSU or CAPE ?) posted earlier, our big events in blocking tend to happen as the NAO flips to + so this seems to fit that.
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In my experience, CAD is generally undermodeled, especially at long leads. If you go back to the ice storm that happened in western MD a few weeks back, the exact same thing happened out there — LR models underplayed the cold hanging on and as the storm got into the short range, the frozen kept hanging on longer & longer on the models. Obviously each setup is different but always best to look at climo & model “bias” when analyzing an OP run 160H+ out.
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Usual caveats apply...OP run...D10/11 blah blah blah. I can’t tell though...is that truly a -NAO?
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GEPS (not the best ensemble but hey, why not?) trying for a ridge bridge in way out in la la land. Would help displace the TPV south and help build heights into GL. Drink up, weenies.
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Even with the torch period coming up (agree with you on 95/east making a run at 70+), what I like seeing is the cold to our north. Seems likely we’d see that shift east with a more favorable upper air pattern & I always like seeing snowpack building to our NW in Canada. This is probably totally weenie rationale, but I feel like that helps reinforce cooler air if we can get flows out of the NW.
