Nice post @showmethesnow. I was just browsing through the overnight EPS and thought it looked considerably better than the GEFS. Would each models depiction of the MJO be impacting the PV placement? My novice weenie thought is yes...Euro allowing for better ridging in the EPO/PNA domains with a MJO forecast to phase 8...thus displacing the PV east. No clue if I’m interpreting things right though.
Yeah, stout 1036H with a nice slug of WAA...being greedy but get that H a little further west and cold would really stay entrenched. 10 day OP so of course will change but there’s been a signal there for days.
11/15 1.9”
1/12-1/13 9.8”
1/17-1/18 1.2”
1/29: 0.3”
2/1: 1” (based on nearby reports)
total 14.2”
Creeping closer and closer to climo. Only 4” needed.
Sweet man, thanks! I didn't see that. I was wondering when Pitt was going to upgrade considering I was at 3.5" when I woke up and my forecast called for 3-7" today.
Sounds corny but there's something 'magical' to watching fluffy snow falling. I like to pick out one pillow snowflake as its falling and track it as it gently hits the ground.
Overnight EPS certainly loves a -NAO. And there’s low heights near the 50/50 domain too. I would think the “blues” over the WC would continue to rotate to the EC if the run continued.
Yeah, drove up tonight and working from here tomorrow. Should be good for about 5”. I’ll try not to rob too much moisture from the Winchester crew ;). Seriously though, hope you can see 1-2”...it’d be a nice cap to a 2 week period for your area.