nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Wow what a call on 3rd down by the Titans.
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Refs must be drinking too. Missed that late hit on Jackson. Elbow to head
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WxUSAF may jump if it goes 21-0 on this possession.
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Should the 3rd screen be the 00z GFS laying a turd on the flip?
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The only thing I’m tracking is next weekend’s potential storm. I’ve seen enough patterns D10-D15 change on a dime on the ensembles, both for better and for worse to get myself invested in hoping for an amazing pattern. January looked dreadful a few days ago and now we are hopefully looking at a flip but I still don’t put much faith in D10+ looks. I mean I’m rooting for a KU pattern just as much as the next weenie but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
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Wow what a start by the Titans.
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It’s our mid season slump starting earlier than expected. We’ll snap out of it eventually. Happens every year. But yes total turd tonight (split screen between Baltimore game and Caps)
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Just another OP solution 150H+ out...shifts will happen so we’ll see what the GEFS says. Considering where people expected to be 4 days ago, I’m happy we’re tracking something other than 85 degrees. I’ll be in McHenry next weekend for this so rooting for high as impact as possible.
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As a neutral football fan, let’s go Vikings and Ravens!
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As you (or PSU or CAPE ?) posted earlier, our big events in blocking tend to happen as the NAO flips to + so this seems to fit that.
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In my experience, CAD is generally undermodeled, especially at long leads. If you go back to the ice storm that happened in western MD a few weeks back, the exact same thing happened out there — LR models underplayed the cold hanging on and as the storm got into the short range, the frozen kept hanging on longer & longer on the models. Obviously each setup is different but always best to look at climo & model “bias” when analyzing an OP run 160H+ out.
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Welcome to the Mid Atlantic!
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Usual caveats apply...OP run...D10/11 blah blah blah. I can’t tell though...is that truly a -NAO?
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High Wind Watch for the mountains and western highlands.
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Daffodils are sprouting up here.
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Country music anyone?
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Honestly, never heard of him.
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Mood swing roller coaster in full effect. Hang on.
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I’ll be at Deep Creek MLK weekend...hoping for a big event. One of my favorite events since having the house out there was MLK weekend last year...had about 6” of snow which turned into ice & got about 0.25” on top of the snow. Then we had WCs -15 or so the next day. I love interesting events like that.
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Cold/dry here is usually good for the mountains with clippers/upslope, which selfishly is good for spending weekends out there.
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Same...our 3rd line needs to wake the F up.
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Is the sky blue in DC? Can our obs thread be a disaster with complaining?
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Oh I totally understand your analysis, especially since you repeat it 50 times. (Kidding). But in all seriousness, if we want a biggie or above average winter, likely need at least a good pattern. Now, back to analyzing the D45 look.
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Nice obs! Send a few pics if you can. What a shutout pattern...
