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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. Just about to say...incoming based on 108. 1037 H and snow breaking out in SW/southern VA.
  2. Ok I think I finally got the correlation between the two threats. If Monday is amped + rainier + snow + warm wet + less amped + warm snow - less amped - more amped (squared) + snowier Monday solution = better Wednesday/Thursday solution
  3. Better confluence would have negated that (verbatim)?
  4. I’ve missed getting reminded by PSU about every fail scenario that exists.
  5. 18z EPS cancelled the storm. Better find more shows to keep you busy.
  6. Can we split the Monday vs Thursday thread? Especially if we’re hoping for the opposite on Monday for a better hit Thursday? I never got the “omg, starting a thread will ruin the threat” stuff but to to each their own.
  7. Based on the 50/50 alone, I’d agree.
  8. You steal all the snow from the 95 corridor so you should have to suffer with bad pizza.
  9. Please, Philly knows nothing about pizza (originally from north/central jersey in the NYC suburbs).
  10. No. Not worth your time...and in this setup unless that OH valley low barrels through an increasingly stronger HP, there’s no chance the mountains are almost in the mid 30s.
  11. It’s happy hour...time for a bourbon cocktail. Cheers y’all.
  12. Can we just create a Ji/DT thread for the two of them to go at it?
  13. if 18z sucks, we're able to blame it on data flow issues...
  14. Heads up - Pivotal has an alert: (11 Dec 2020) Data flow issues from NCEP this afternoon may result in delayed or missing data for their models.
  15. I'm likely heading to Deep Creek for this one -- happy to not be in the mix zone for a change.
  16. But did you see the 50/50 low?
  17. i'm worried about the back edge already
  18. @mattie g bringing the laughs to the model thread...I lol'd a few times at his posts in there.
  19. Overall, that's a great run IMO. yes cities mix/flip to rain for a time but then flip back verbatim as the coastal cranks (its the game we play along 95). A few minor adjustments would be all frozen even for 95.
  20. That's basically a textbook setup/evolution for the mid-atlantic.
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