nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Spending the afternoon at Stone Tower Winery just west of Leesburg. What a gorgeous day!
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Just wait til/if we get a legit warning event and Yoda brings out the crayon GGEM/RGEM maps to tout.
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Sorry Ravens fans....not the result you wanted I know. Time to rally around a region wide KU event.
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People look at the ICON?
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Lots of head scratching calls this game.
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I wish I could ban all political ads during sports (since it’s the only live tv I watch).
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Jackson has been worse than the NAVGEM model.
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Look at the bright side. Once the models re-flip back to a disaster pattern, no one will remember this game.
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Wow what a call on 3rd down by the Titans.
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Refs must be drinking too. Missed that late hit on Jackson. Elbow to head
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WxUSAF may jump if it goes 21-0 on this possession.
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Should the 3rd screen be the 00z GFS laying a turd on the flip?
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The only thing I’m tracking is next weekend’s potential storm. I’ve seen enough patterns D10-D15 change on a dime on the ensembles, both for better and for worse to get myself invested in hoping for an amazing pattern. January looked dreadful a few days ago and now we are hopefully looking at a flip but I still don’t put much faith in D10+ looks. I mean I’m rooting for a KU pattern just as much as the next weenie but I’m keeping my expectations in check.
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Wow what a start by the Titans.
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It’s our mid season slump starting earlier than expected. We’ll snap out of it eventually. Happens every year. But yes total turd tonight (split screen between Baltimore game and Caps)
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Just another OP solution 150H+ out...shifts will happen so we’ll see what the GEFS says. Considering where people expected to be 4 days ago, I’m happy we’re tracking something other than 85 degrees. I’ll be in McHenry next weekend for this so rooting for high as impact as possible.
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As a neutral football fan, let’s go Vikings and Ravens!
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As you (or PSU or CAPE ?) posted earlier, our big events in blocking tend to happen as the NAO flips to + so this seems to fit that.
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In my experience, CAD is generally undermodeled, especially at long leads. If you go back to the ice storm that happened in western MD a few weeks back, the exact same thing happened out there — LR models underplayed the cold hanging on and as the storm got into the short range, the frozen kept hanging on longer & longer on the models. Obviously each setup is different but always best to look at climo & model “bias” when analyzing an OP run 160H+ out.
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Welcome to the Mid Atlantic!
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Usual caveats apply...OP run...D10/11 blah blah blah. I can’t tell though...is that truly a -NAO?
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High Wind Watch for the mountains and western highlands.
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Daffodils are sprouting up here.
