nj2va

Same on 395 and many roads around here. Gotta use up that budget! Such a waste of $ and terrible for the Bay.

Not hating the GFS or NAM for Deep Creek. I’m rooting for over performing WAA (especially for the rest of the forum) and surprise upslope on Sunday.

I have to take the train this evening to NYC (yuck) for some meetings tomorrow AM up there. Going to watch the game from a bar up there...shouldn't be too hard to find one with the game on since they're playing Jersey.

Say it ain't so It never snows Leesburg's posts are shoddy Lets have a hot toddy

Sometimes when I read these soliloquies from you, I'm waiting for you to post something in poem version.

GFS looks wetter when it matters for most in the region, especially NE MD. It's 0.5"+ frozen QPF for western MD. 'Trended' wetter the past two runs out there.

Since we'll never see a HECS again, that's a true statement!

Thanks for the maps. With the mesos getting into range today/tomorrow, it’ll be interesting to see the trend in precip & temps. 6z GFS juiced up in western MD (now drops 0.4” of frozen QPF). Hopefully that continues.

No...very limited ICON info on TT so basically only know if its liquid or frozen.

It’s hard to put much stock in the ICON but it gives Deep Creek over 1” of frozen QPF. I’m just rooting for an interesting event knowing that it won’t be all snow.

00z NAM is a pretty decent wintry event, especially for western areas. CAD really looking entrenched east of the Apps. Deep Creek gets 0.6-0.7” of frozen QPF on the NAM.

We've got a house out there and will be there this weekend. Agree that this season has been pretty terrible there...probably around 20-25" so far when they average north of 110" for the year. Way too much would need to change for this to be all snow. A lot of variables at play for how much frozen precip we get there (WAA precip amounts, how long the low level cold sticks around) but it does seem likely we'll see a frozen event there. Will guess we see a little snow then sleet/ice. Probably some rain in the afternoon, depending on how long the cold hangs on. Once the winds shift from the NW overnight into Sunday, we'll see upslope snow showers.

I'm in Deep Creek this weekend so tracking this for out there. 18z GFS was 0.5-0.6" QPF frozen. Temps go above freezing shortly after 18z Saturday there.

Yep, pretty much locks up he'll be moving on. I worry about trading him and losing the playoff experience in a goalie behind Sam.

Inquiring minds want to know...who are the other two? It could be me....which means you won't see this!

In more exciting news, Capitals resigned Backstrom to a 5 year deal! @Scraff @nw baltimore wx @Chris78 @H2O

I dunno...considering people cancelled january last week, the idea of any type of frozen should be good news (with other 'threats' a possibility). But what do I know...

I think today will probably be a bad day around here. The opposite of the morning of a big snowstorm where it "has that feeling of snow in the air" -- it has the feeling of doom and gloom in the air here.

Completely agree, long way to go in the season but hard to start Holtby in goal if the playoffs started today. I was worried we’d be eff’d after Holtby moves on but not anymore....such a great future Samsonov has.

Night and day from that disaster vs the Devils. Samsonov is a beast...the team responds when he’s in net too.

You smartly noticed that earlier today IIRC which was a good call & key feature to pay attention to. The slower onset really isn’t helping us....although these tend to come in quicker than modeled so there’s that.

WPC probability of > 0.25” QPF of snow/sleet. Impressive for D5 leads. 50% for mountains/northern tier. 30% north of EZF.

I like seeing the widespread temps in the 20s (to near 30) Friday evening across the region.

Can we start a thread for this? It'd be helpful to separate this threat from the LR discussion.

We’ve been members there for about 4 or 5 years now...our favorite winery in the area for sure. Their sparkling Rose and reds are good & love their wood fired pizza! And I love the views there.