nj2va

850s haven’t crashed through the area as of early Christmas morning so the 6z Euro ends with some light snow west of Carroll county.

The cities will score a snow event with that type of blocking....IMO, its just a matter of when. Might not be a 36” HECS but I have a hard time believing the upcoming blocking won’t produce at least a moderate event here. But I’m sure pivotpivot will point out something about the PAC that will f us over.

Mountains have a flash flood watch tomorrow and winter storm watch tomorrow night/Friday. There was at least 6-7” snowpack when I left on Monday + 5-6” fresh snow this week...could definitely lead to flooding problems tomorrow with all that rain/rapid snow melt.

NAM wants nothing to do with snow outside the mountains on Christmas Eve/day.

@BristowWx bullseye....its gotta be wrong

P&C for a random town in western MN for tomorrow/night. -34 wind chill...brrrrr Wednesday Snow, mainly before 2pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Widespread blowing snow, mainly after 9am. Temperature falling to around 0 by 5pm. Wind chill values as low as -28. Windy, with a north northwest wind 32 to 38 mph, with gusts as high as 55 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 5 inches possible. Wednesday Night Widespread blowing snow, mainly before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around -9. Wind chill values as low as -34. Windy, with a north northwest wind 31 to 36 mph decreasing to 21 to 26 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.

Yeah, mountains always adds some difficult forecasting conditions but just comparing Pitt to LWX, I can already see a difference with LWX even reading their forecast discussions for the mountain zone. Beyond the challenges of forecasting in mountains, I just find LWX a much higher quality than Pitt.

I’d be curious Jon’s thoughts for Canaan but until last month, NWS Pitt covered Garrett County and I always felt they were a few steps behind.

I’ll be at my parents house in Ocean County, NJ Christmas Eve/Day...SREFs give them 5”...hugging!

Amazing that a clipper produced that, very cool. How much did Canaan get?

It’s going to be some wild weather on Thursday into Friday in the mountains from Snowshoe up through Canaan and Wisp. Will likely need wind chill advisories in addition to WSW.

Seems like you created a jolt for your team.

JuJu too busy coming up with dumb dance moves instead of watching tapes/reading plays.

Steelers are in trouble...

That looks heavier than it was during last Wednesday’s event honestly. From a clipper no less!

Unreal! Looks like something out of a postcard. Snow also looks fluffy AF. Hope you’re doing well and enjoyed the trip.

I figured LWX would upgrade the WWA for Wisp to a WSW...these clippers generally overperform in the mountains with the upslope enhancement and this vort is pretty vigorous. Upslope will be cranking like you pointed out later this week. Great timing for the ski resorts.

32 in McHenry and snow is coming down good on the Ring Cameras. Fresh coating on the driveway. unfortunately I’m back in Arlington.

On PTO until 1/4!!

Happy first day of winter! Days start to get longer (sun angle!!!!)

We need a top 10 posts of the year thread this time of year like the good ol’ letterman countdowns... that post would be up there

This Seahawks/WFT game is a snooze

For those wondering the differences between a west or east based block, the link below is a great read: https://climate.ncsu.edu/climate/patterns/nao

Digging out cars on the street or a townhome parking lot really sucks. Although the only “fun” part is when everyone is doing it together and it turns into a bit of a neighborhood block party. I remember in the Jan 2016 blizzard one of our neighbors took his grill out front and grilled burgers and hot dogs, and others brought out beer/drinks...it was fun. That said, a garage still beats that. We’re probably going to move in the spring/summer timeframe from our townhouse and up there on the list is a garage. You did the smart thing!

30 with snow. 0.5” new snow so far.