Hovered around 32 all evening/night last night and shot up to 46 around 3a which thankfully has melted all the ice from the trees. Currently 38. Ended up with about 0.3” of ice.
Last year had a cold November (-AO if i remember correctly) followed by...well we know what followed that.
Not saying we should expect it to be 100% opposite of last year — but what happens in November doesn’t set the stage for the rest of the winter is my point.
That was the first year I started tracking storms on models and I remember thinking “geesh, what’s so hard about this...we keep getting perfect storm setups”.
Ahhh - then reality set up in subsequent winters...