nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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This winter already beats last winter. I’m not even sure we got a storm within 10 days on a model.
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We’d be better off shutting down this thread and the MR/LR thread. Clearly it’ll be 52 and rainy from D through March.
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Looks like I'll be spending Halloween in Deep Creek. A foot of snow and a bag of Reese's Cups sounds great.
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I think you missed the point of my post.
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Tracking winter used to be way more fun before these long range seasonal models came around.
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I think I finished with 1” last year in Arlington. I agree - I don’t see us doing worse than that here.
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You’re able to tell the future.
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If I stare at it long enough, I can convince myself the purple line just makes it to Garrett County.
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If that look persists into mid-October, it could easily lead to early flakes for the mountains. The later the month goes with that look, it opens the door for the far NW exurbs too (your area, etc).
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I’m not even sure I could round up to an inch last winter.
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Not saying we'll have a blockbuster winter but I put no faith in these seasonal forecasts.
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Yeah, I think so. Clippers are fun sneaky events.
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It seems like we’re due for a fluke event this winter (this is 100% unscientific but probably more accurate than those lame seasonal models/weeklies).
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Oh, that #$#%ing storm.
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I thought this area did quite well in the January '96 blizzard? Or do I have the wrong storm?
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Winter automatically would get a B at least.
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The real way it’ll go down is we’ll get a -NAO in early November to give us the hope of a front loaded winter. Dec 1 flips to a +NAO and holds until March.
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I’ll go 5-15” at home and 60-80” in McHenry. Both below average.
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Famous last words
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Glad y’all are getting snow!
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This is really great, thanks for doing it. Maybe we can get a Hudson Bay ridge pop up magically to save the crap January pattern & gives us a fluke warning level storm.
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Who was that doofus the other day who posted “I expected damage to look much worse from Abasco” after the initial pictures and videos came out. I wonder what he thinks now.
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Clearly a tsunami warning is needed over turtle’s area.
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Good practice for our non-winter winter.
