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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. nj2va
    6z GEFS seems to have a quicker transfer and there are some SLP ensemble plots showing up off the coast in a better location. It also gets the northern part of the subforum in on the coastal as it redevelops. But its still night/day from the EPS with the evolution.
  2. nj2va
    Here’s UK at 120 and 144:
  3. nj2va
    No one cares what happens north of the forum, sorry.
  4. nj2va
    Dude, get your expectations in check. Euro is on an island with that extreme solution right now. Set yourself for a 3-6” event and enjoy if there’s an upside.
  5. nj2va
    Neige!
  6. nj2va
    It’s hard to argue against the EPS 500 evolution...such a huge signal for an amplifying SW. Also, GFS has been.....wait for it.......trending.
  7. nj2va
    Looking at the crayon GGEM maps, 1007 LP in KY at 120. 999 off Cape May at 144.
  8. nj2va
    Amazing how different the evolution at 500 is than the Euro. Vort on the GFS is robust/closed over the plains but then opens/weakens as it heads east. Euro has a much stronger vort.
  9. nj2va
    GFS has light snow breaking out in the SW part of the forum late Saturday night.
  10. nj2va
    PSU panics about being fringed and an hour later ICON jackpots him with 1.5” QPF as snow.
  11. nj2va
    Precip is in the SW part of the forum late Saturday night and into DC after midnight. yes, its always good to be measured around here but this isn’t a week out. Ninja’d by losetoa6
  12. nj2va
    Closed 500 ensemble mean again. Wooooooooof.
  13. nj2va
    BTW, looking at the Euro our vort is onshore within 72 hours.
  14. nj2va
    ^^^hard to find major differences on the 18z Euro. EPS will be out soon.
  15. nj2va
    One step away from Enhanced
  16. nj2va
    The "disaster" para is a thump of 4-8" then dry slot. Hardly a disaster.
  17. nj2va
    Not to beat a dead horse but it took another step south (continues the trend of the last several runs). That's all I wanted to see from it.
  18. nj2va
    18z NAM at 84H looks really similar to the 12z Euro at 90H at 500.
  19. nj2va
    We all will be..and if you’re not, you’re only lying to yourself.
  20. nj2va
    Screw waiting until Thursday to get invested. Navgem is on board now.
  21. nj2va
    You’ll be fine with 8 guys. Bring the grill out and some drinks....you’d have a blast.
  22. nj2va
    The best part....this storm isn’t named after anyone.
  23. nj2va
    Seeing closed 500 lows on an ensemble 5 days out is the biggest signal I need to see.
  24. nj2va
    I'd much rather an uncomplicated WAA setup that throws precip into cold air like I said earlier. If the coastal/CCB/snows for 15 days straight/etc solutions on the high end work out, then great.
  25. nj2va
    I swear this place is the twilight zone.
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