nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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6z precip total (doesn’t include the Sunday potential). It continues to suggest the rain will flip to snow here on NYE, something that I haven’t seen on another model. I’m not concerned by the freezing rain as depicted since we’ll eventually warm up even out here and the antecedent air mass isn’t super cold (aside from today where we’ll stay in the low 20s).
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Currently 20 degrees (low for the day). Picked up a fresh coating of snow overnight.
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Down to 28.
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Yes, we’re getting into the heart of climo so marginal/slightly below can work. We don’t need 2,234,423 things to line up in our favor in January (just 2,234,422 ). Sometimes I think people obsess over the temp anomaly maps...give me a good H5 setup and I’ll let the chips fall.
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Already over two thirds of last season’s total in McHenry (~40-42” this year when we had 60” last winter) - it’s been a good winter here so far especially considering 99% of that fell in December. At home, I’m not sure I hit 1” last winter...I’m already halfway there this season.
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Nice comparison, thanks for posting. Euro went colder and took a step towards the CMC albeit not as aggressive like you said. It’s interesting how this system keeps evolving from what it looked like a day or two ago. LWX mentioned that in their disco earlier this morning - continuing evolving guidance gives them low confidence in their forecast right now.
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I was being sarcastic.
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Meh, but the pacific isn’t perfect so we’ll probably waste it. We need a perfect look!!!!!!!
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Are you sure that’s the Euro Hi Res? The image says ‘GFS’ next to the model.
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12z Euro by precip type...yesterday’s 12z had 100% rain as the precip type for everyone.
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It actually even turns here over to snow Thursday morning (“Wave 1”) and has a legit freezing rain event on NYD for “Wave 2”. Trending way more interesting for the far NW/mountain areas.
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I hope the Cowboys sneak in from the NFC East. Don’t @ me.
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Currently 41 and snowpack is taking a beating today - temp rose 10 degrees overnight in a span of 2 hours. Hoping to pick up an inch tonight as temps drop this afternoon.
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Thanks for showing this comparison. Weaker low + stronger high showing up in more frozen precip here. If that stupid Bermuda High could move further east or weaken, this could be a legit event for some.
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CMC keeps me frozen for the duration of the storm (sleet to start then freezing rain). Too bad CMC is a terrible model. I do think it bears watching for the far N&W areas for some frozen to start before flipping to rain.
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Fix the rabbit ears..that’ll clear it up.
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Steelers just dominating this half.
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Huge Colts defensive stop right there.
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Also EPS has a signal at that timeframe for a low in the east at the end of its run based on the MSLP anomaly maps - haven’t looked into the individual plots but seems like a decent signal just based on this map. Perhaps we can get the PNA to flex at the right time.
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Canadian ensemble looks very similar to the EPS (EPS a little less pronounced of the PNA ridge). That’s an impressive west -NAO.
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IronTy has spoken...time for the spring thread!
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Pivotal has it.
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I was wondering wtf they were doing there.
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I thought that’s what WxUSAF said from his email. and wow at this football game ending.
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Huh? That sounds like you have loads of free time. Perhaps a knitting hobby or something to add. Early congrats on another baby!
