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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. Amazing how different the evolution at 500 is than the Euro. Vort on the GFS is robust/closed over the plains but then opens/weakens as it heads east. Euro has a much stronger vort.
  2. GFS has light snow breaking out in the SW part of the forum late Saturday night.
  3. PSU panics about being fringed and an hour later ICON jackpots him with 1.5” QPF as snow.
  4. Precip is in the SW part of the forum late Saturday night and into DC after midnight. yes, its always good to be measured around here but this isn’t a week out. Ninja’d by losetoa6
  5. BTW, looking at the Euro our vort is onshore within 72 hours.
  6. ^^^hard to find major differences on the 18z Euro. EPS will be out soon.
  7. The "disaster" para is a thump of 4-8" then dry slot. Hardly a disaster.
  8. Not to beat a dead horse but it took another step south (continues the trend of the last several runs). That's all I wanted to see from it.
  9. 18z NAM at 84H looks really similar to the 12z Euro at 90H at 500.
  10. We all will be..and if you’re not, you’re only lying to yourself.
  11. Screw waiting until Thursday to get invested. Navgem is on board now.
  12. You’ll be fine with 8 guys. Bring the grill out and some drinks....you’d have a blast.
  13. The best part....this storm isn’t named after anyone.
  14. Seeing closed 500 lows on an ensemble 5 days out is the biggest signal I need to see.
  15. I'd much rather an uncomplicated WAA setup that throws precip into cold air like I said earlier. If the coastal/CCB/snows for 15 days straight/etc solutions on the high end work out, then great.
  16. Are people really expecting the Euro's 18-24" solution to hold? No wonder why its always so hard to find a therapist in the DMV with availability.
  17. Yep. Though aside from the 00z run, its been slowly trending south with the primary each run.
  18. GFS gives OBX snow on Thursday...the NC12 traffic cameras would be fun to look at.
  19. I'm actually shocked no one posted that. Good thing Ji was sleeping.
  20. @leesburg 04 rule in effect in the storm thread. Ralph had the last post and I knew better than to open it/read it.
  21. Yep, I’m not even buying into the extreme upper end of the Euro this far out - a recipe for let down around here. Para would be a great storm for DC.....just throw a slug of moisture into cold temps - seems like we haven’t had an easy WAA setup in forever.
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