I’d lean mesoscale models for thermals at this point. I hope Canadian is right for the cities/close in burbs but I wouldn’t put my stock, if any, in the temp depictions. Someone smarter than me can weigh in though...
I think we’ll see a slight east tick or two tomorrow/game time. I’m hoping for 1” QPF which every model gives me (with breathing room assuming there’s tics). No one is getting 3’ from this but I wouldn’t be surprised for a very localized report of 20” especially somewhere close to the mixing line in N central MD.
GFS has been consistently getting wetter out here from yesterday’s runs. 18z yesterday threw 0.3” QPF here...today’s 12z (including upslope) is just shy of an 1”. 3k starting tomorrow will start to be useful to hone in on mesoscale features.
I took a quick peak and it looks very similar to the 00z run. Really clocks western areas again. Since the margins matter for the cities, it looks like its a touch warmer at 925 (haven’t checked surface but would imagine that is the same).
Wisp cam: https://www.wispresort.com/Wisp-Cam/ - top of the hill obscured by snow.
Today and Wednesday will be great for business for the local ski resorts. They need it after last season (and the added costs of running in a pandemic).