nj2va

Yep, its been very persistent on that...would be a good mesoscale win for the model if that verifies. But it would be a loss for your backyard.

I had a glass half empty [of wine] lens to your post, oops.

Have another beer...it’ll make it look closer.

Full coverage at our place on the ring cameras. No idea of depth. Heading there Saturday so I’ll let you know.

Winds just shifted out of the NW at the house in deep creek. Temp dropping like a rock. And snowing now too. here near the jersey shore, the winds are roaring.

Morgantown winds flipped out of the NW. getting closer to Deep Creek and Canaan.

Went to 4pm mass, just finished dinner, time to pour more wine and pretend the 18z cutters are all coastal crawlers.

42 in Deep Creek. Looks like Pittsburgh is close to flipping to frozen.

Current mesoscale temps...purple line is freezing...still not even to the western part of WV.

Sounds nice! Congrats.

Up to 40 at deep creek with mod/heavy rain on radar. I’m under a high wind warning at my parents place in ocean county, NJ for 60 mph wind gusts. Wild.

Same to you and your family!

I can still remember getting in trouble for throwing snowballs at passing cars on our street growing up after the Jan 96 storm in NJ. And then I’d shovel snow back into the street after a plow came through so school would keep getting cancelled (as if that had any impact ha). anyways back on topic, HRDRPS has that same snow band south of DC but it’s more localized over the eastern shore. Models seem to like that area for some reason for some surprise Christmas snow.

I need to start making a journal of memorable weather events. I’m always amazed at the ability by people here to remember random azz events. I’m happy if I can remember where I put my iPhone down

I like to think of myself as weenie-ish...where does that fall?

00z GFS has the band of snow showers running south of DC from OC/Rehoboth to Dale City-ish on Christmas Day.

Yep, LWX mentioned flash freeze in their morning headline today for areas west of I-81.

18z Euro gives McHenry almost 8” (Kuchera) through Saturday afternoon. Good for the ski resorts (Wisp down to Snowshoe) to replenish their packs.

Yep, this is definitely not your run of the mill cold front. Much prefer this over boring weather.

This is a really helpful post, thanks. First week of January has the best NAM look in years.

Ha, I was about to post the same thing. 1996 vibes?

Yeah, I was being a bit cheeky with my post since its sort of lol-worthy seeing it again exactly a week later. If we could either break out some of that energy so it’s not so robust out west (could keep it weak enough so its not a giant cutter) or get a piece of it to run ahead like you said, we could score some frozen especially with that 1039 H over Ontario. That H seems new this run unless I wasn’t paying close enough attention - and the post Christmas cutter is acting as a pseudo 50/50 for that H to slow down. Bears watching for sure.

NYE/New Years day looks quite similar to Christmas Eve/Day on the 12z GFS. Huge cutter, driving rainstorm on NYE, front pushes through and gets cold on New Years Day.

Can anyone help point out where the front is on here? Having a hard time finding it.

850s haven’t crashed through the area as of early Christmas morning so the 6z Euro ends with some light snow west of Carroll county.