nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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SWEET, Caps tie it up late in the 3rd.
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Agree, Ellinwood’s map looks really good IMO. 4-8” (some locally higher amounts) is a good call. A few days ago, people were cancelling the rest of winter so I think some perspective of where we stood a week ago should be kept when freaking out about each run.
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18z GFS reactions were truly special…even for mid Atlantic standards.
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For the snowfall map queens. So much panicking over every tick.
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Triple closed vort at H18…tasty.
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Cold is coming. Temp down to 32/31 at the house at Deep Creek. DP readings in the 40s showing up in Winchester and Frederick.
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Looking good. Moisture transport from the Gulf, too.
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Also, WWAs expanded north and west.
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Yes. Long range HRRR is not reliable, don’t bother with it.
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Dew points are falling in the western zones. Upper 30s now in Garrett County. Upper 40s in Hancock.
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Such a beautiful state, any time of year. But winter there is like another world for sure.
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I don’t hate it since it has me in the 8” band. ::weenie:: But man, that map is hard to read - difficult to see the county/etc boundaries.
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Euro has DPs falling below freezing by midnight for most of the area (except areas S&E of DC which is later during the overnight). N&W areas’ DPs are below freezing later tonight. At least it won’t be 36/34 at the start of this.
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About to hit the road to head back to Alexandria. Reading the “souther trend” freakouts is making me happy I’ll be driving and can’t read that thread for the next three hours.
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I haven’t looked at the surface yet but through hour 30, the 500 depiction is looking good. Closed 500 low. Sharper trough. Neutral over MS River and has a bit of a negative tilt to it too as its heading east.
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Euro closing off at 500 so far…I like seeing that.
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I’m out through hour 9 on Pivotal.
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Just saw the better maps on Pivotal. Agree on the shift (its in NAM territory in terms of size of shift) and it makes me wonder if we’re not yet done with the adjustments on the UK heading into tomorrow’s 12z.
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On the Meteocentre maps only (not the ‘prettier’ maps yet), but UKMET took a big jump NW as well.
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It does seem GFS has been leading the way in terms of other models catching up to a more NW solution. I’m not saying the GFS (especially the crazy 00z depiction) is right, but the “oh lets 100% discount the GFS because its the GFS” mantra may not hold with this storm.
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Wrong thread @IronTy
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33% chance of 0” 33% chance of 1-3” 33% chance of 3-6”
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**Until the next storm that the GFS shows a foot of snow and this place lights up like a Christmas tree
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Cannot. Compute.
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Need that Bob Chill huge “oh my” emoji
