nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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4-8” seems reasonable.
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23z HRRR drops almost 1” QPF in Alexandria/SE DC through the end of the run (stops at noon tomorrow). 0.6” Baltimore. Sharp cutoff north of Reistertown.
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Gorgeous, thanks. It looks like its taking on a negative tilt?
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Brutal cutoff for Leesburg there…
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For visual purposes.
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58/49. DP has been steadily dropping the last hour.
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No. Seems highly unlikely given the three hour component.
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40s marching towards the DC Beltway. 30s approaching Winchester. LFG
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SWEET, Caps tie it up late in the 3rd.
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Agree, Ellinwood’s map looks really good IMO. 4-8” (some locally higher amounts) is a good call. A few days ago, people were cancelling the rest of winter so I think some perspective of where we stood a week ago should be kept when freaking out about each run.
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18z GFS reactions were truly special…even for mid Atlantic standards.
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For the snowfall map queens. So much panicking over every tick.
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Triple closed vort at H18…tasty.
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Cold is coming. Temp down to 32/31 at the house at Deep Creek. DP readings in the 40s showing up in Winchester and Frederick.
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Looking good. Moisture transport from the Gulf, too.
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Also, WWAs expanded north and west.
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Yes. Long range HRRR is not reliable, don’t bother with it.
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Dew points are falling in the western zones. Upper 30s now in Garrett County. Upper 40s in Hancock.
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Such a beautiful state, any time of year. But winter there is like another world for sure.
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I don’t hate it since it has me in the 8” band. ::weenie:: But man, that map is hard to read - difficult to see the county/etc boundaries.
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Euro has DPs falling below freezing by midnight for most of the area (except areas S&E of DC which is later during the overnight). N&W areas’ DPs are below freezing later tonight. At least it won’t be 36/34 at the start of this.
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About to hit the road to head back to Alexandria. Reading the “souther trend” freakouts is making me happy I’ll be driving and can’t read that thread for the next three hours.
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I haven’t looked at the surface yet but through hour 30, the 500 depiction is looking good. Closed 500 low. Sharper trough. Neutral over MS River and has a bit of a negative tilt to it too as its heading east.
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Euro closing off at 500 so far…I like seeing that.
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I’m out through hour 9 on Pivotal.
