nj2va

That definitely seems early. Usually a week or so away from that, no?

I'm in Alexandria (vs downtown/DC) but would think its probably the same there. This is basically consistent vs prior years when the first/South facing flowers bloomed. Also saw a few forsythias in bloom yesterday running errands around here. Inside the Beltway is basically a tropical island

Perfect weather for yard cleanup. Bagged up 12 bags of leaves. Plants and flowers are definitely waking up. South facing daffodils full bloom.

South facing Daffodils are in full bloom here. Avg high/low is 51/34. Met spring starts in less than 48 hours!

Sorry, definitely had to troll your new thread. Blame it on the Friday HH bourbon cocktails.

Hopefully tracking 60s/sun in March.

Rooting for cold/snow in March means it’ll just turn out to be 37 and raining in the lowlands. Pass!

Feels like spring out there again with the sun angle and rising temps today.

Were you trying to one up @poolz1?

Put that in the photos thread! thats a keeper

Lowest it got here was 33. Looks like temps are rising across the region now.

All I can see is a giant green text bubble so I couldn't read your response.

Hopefully the ice kills and decimates that bamboo!

37/light rain here. Give me yesterday's weather back. 25/freezing rain at Deep Creek.

Android? I used to like you until I found out you'd have the dreaded green text bubbles

Made the same comment the other day to a friend of mine. Eerily similar to when Hitler claimed Sudentenland in the Munich Agreement then proceeded to invade the rest of Czech (and well, the rest is history).

Get your backup generator ready. Also should add precip is still ongoing as the run ended so the northern tier would see higher totals than depicted on the map.

Ice totals through the end of the latest HRRR.

I’m glued to the tv tonight. Who cares about a potential winter storm.

Only a 40 degree temp difference between here and Deep Creek.

75 glorious degrees!

I noticed this morning that the buds on my hydrangeas have started to get bigger/red in color over the last week. The 60s have definitely helped with the progression.

LWX posted watches for Garrett/Allegany in MD and Mineral County in WV. Up to 0.3” ice and 1” of snow/sleet. Good write-up too by LWX explaining the set-up and possibilities: Complex (but somewhat typical for this area) storm system will affect the area Thursday into Friday. A lead shortwave will be responsible for an initial round of precipitation Thursday, then a stronger shortwave will force an area of low pressure to develop along the stalled front to our south, before tracking to our west and north Thursday night and possibly redeveloping offshore Friday. Meanwhile, a strong Arctic high will be located over Canada feeding cold/dry air southward which will become dammed east of the Appalachians. The atmosphere may be cold enough (or at least wet bulb low enough) for precipitation to start as some snow or sleet for parts of the area. However, the air aloft will warm with time, eventually leading to a rain or freezing rain scenario. Surface temperatures are always tricky during CAD, but probabilities support the greatest chance of any icing generally north and west of I-95...but particularly within a couple counties of the PA border where the greatest QPF is expected Thursday night to Friday morning. In some of these areas, especially in the Cumberland MD area, the wedge may not break until the trailing cold front arrives later Friday morning. Some of the factors that will have an effect on this system: 1. There will be an interesting play between air temperatures and precipitation with the initial round Thursday due to wet bulb processes, which may ultimately determine the strength/breadth of the CAD. 2. There will be very dry air at the surface, so precipitation could have a hard time progressing northward Thursday. 3. While not a common solution in models, there is some potential for a more prolonged period of sleet near the PA border which could reduce freezing rain accumulations. 4. For much of the area, temperatures will be marginal for the event, and the preceding days have been very warm. Any areas where freezing rain is light or brief may not have as much of an impact as it would otherwise. 5. Uncertainties about if and how much temperatures drop Thursday evening and rise thereafter, as well as QPF during the second wave, which will largely be focused north of the area. In the end, issued a Winter Storm Watch due to the potential of more than a quarter inch of ice for Allegany, Garrett (especially eastern), and Mineral Counties. This is based on a combination of NBM probabilities, QPF forecasts, and CAD climatology. Interesting enough, if western Garrett stays warm and sees mostly rain, we may have to monitor localized minor hydro issues. It`s also possible places like Catoctin Mountain could near a quarter inch of ice, but confidence/areal coverage is expected to be much lower in these areas. We will evaluate the need for advisories/warnings later today.

Better close the blinds when walking around the house naked.