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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. Starts as rain then gradual shift to a mix/sleet before going to all snow by 8a. Given current temps, I wouldn’t be surprised we have a few hours of rain/mix before its all snow.
  2. NAM is bringing the QPF this run. But that cutoff is insane. Barely 0.1” in northern Loudoun and close to 1.5” in the southern most part of the county.
  3. 23z HRRR drops almost 1” QPF in Alexandria/SE DC through the end of the run (stops at noon tomorrow). 0.6” Baltimore. Sharp cutoff north of Reistertown.
  4. Gorgeous, thanks. It looks like its taking on a negative tilt?
  5. Brutal cutoff for Leesburg there…
  6. 58/49. DP has been steadily dropping the last hour.
  7. No. Seems highly unlikely given the three hour component.
  8. 40s marching towards the DC Beltway. 30s approaching Winchester. LFG
  9. SWEET, Caps tie it up late in the 3rd.
  10. Agree, Ellinwood’s map looks really good IMO. 4-8” (some locally higher amounts) is a good call. A few days ago, people were cancelling the rest of winter so I think some perspective of where we stood a week ago should be kept when freaking out about each run.
  11. 18z GFS reactions were truly special…even for mid Atlantic standards.
  12. For the snowfall map queens. So much panicking over every tick.
  13. Cold is coming. Temp down to 32/31 at the house at Deep Creek. DP readings in the 40s showing up in Winchester and Frederick.
  14. Looking good. Moisture transport from the Gulf, too.
  15. Yes. Long range HRRR is not reliable, don’t bother with it.
  16. Dew points are falling in the western zones. Upper 30s now in Garrett County. Upper 40s in Hancock.
  17. Such a beautiful state, any time of year. But winter there is like another world for sure.
  18. I don’t hate it since it has me in the 8” band. ::weenie:: But man, that map is hard to read - difficult to see the county/etc boundaries.
  19. Euro has DPs falling below freezing by midnight for most of the area (except areas S&E of DC which is later during the overnight). N&W areas’ DPs are below freezing later tonight. At least it won’t be 36/34 at the start of this.
  20. About to hit the road to head back to Alexandria. Reading the “souther trend” freakouts is making me happy I’ll be driving and can’t read that thread for the next three hours.
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