nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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Amwx gossip thread says it was you
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Great post to read over my coffee this morning, thanks @brooklynwx99
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Yeah I think that’s key to being more comfortable as an adult for sure — first time I ski’d was probably ten years ago in my late 20s. I always laugh when I see a 5 year old fly by me on their skis. Fozz, same here - cautious is probably a perfect way to describe my skiing. It’d be fun to do a amwx ski day at wisp/Canaan this winter for anyone interested.
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I’m still a work in progress too….I’ve gotten better over the last few years going to Wisp so much having the house in McHenry but I still find myself panicking and reverting to pizza. I think I like the apres ski part of skiing more than skiing itself ha
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Great post. That map shows the multiple chances that the pattern could produce. It feels like we’re on the right side of luck (finally) so I like our chances of one of these waves EPS is keying in on (or another) working out.
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Time to cancel winter. No blizzard this run.
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GFS looks good for the mountains next weekend. Gets snow from the LP as it passes our area and then upslope gets cranking as the LP heads NE. Would be good timing for the long weekend at the ski resorts.
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Lol, what an idiot. The anti-Santa https://wtop.com/montgomery-county/2022/01/police-man-gets-stuck-in-chimney-trying-to-rob-montgomery-co-home/
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Quite the blizzard next Friday on the GFS for LI/NE. Tons of energy rounding the base of the trough but the timing is a bit off in time for our latitude. Certainly bears watching.
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Named after Paul Kocin and Louis Uccellini - literally wrote a textbook on patterns that lead to major east coast storms. They’re The Godfathers of east coast blizzards basically. https://www.amazon.com/Northeast-Snowstorms-1-2-Set/dp/1878220640
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I think ‘16 started showing up a week or so out and aside from a random waiver or two, it was locked in the whole time. I can remember even 5 days out, the ensembles had closed 500 lows taking perfect tracks for us on the mean which was pretty astounding and put as high confidence as you can into a big storm here.
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Someone smarter than me could comment but looking at 500 and MSLP, I don’t see a HUGE signal that supports the op but the upper air pattern is supportive of winter weather in the east. Fun tracking ahead.
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Drooling…fun to look at for 2 more hours
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Reminder of Ji’s last prediction a week before he had two measurable events. Keep in mind when Ji declares January is a disaster and we can’t even get a fantasy storm in a good pattern.
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21 here.
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Got down to 3 at Deep Creek, by far coldest of the season there.
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Can we either move Sunday into the discobs thread or create a separate one? It’ll get cluttered in here talking MR/LR with it.
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I live like 1.5 miles from DCA as the birds fly and got down to 19 Tuesday morning after the storm. But it’s residential and lots of mature trees so maybe that helped (and not on the water). But even places in Old Town were 20-21. I totally get the UHI issues downtown/etc in dc but DCA is just terrible at obs.
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Great photo!
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Give me something to track in the Day 4 and shorter timeframe, too. The longer track events are annoying AF due to the meltdowns and freakouts over every. single. fluctuation. -- "OMG, THE 162 HOUR SNOWFALL MAP WENT FROM 16" TO 10" HERE COMES THE NORTH TREND IT WAS FUN WHILE IT LASTED".
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Midnight high ruining the sub 32 day here officially but good to finally have a day below freezing.
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Sunday could be dicey for N&W with some freezing rain. 3k NAM would be a model I'd keep an eye on as we get closer.
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Looks like my 2.6" is spot on to nearby reports in Alexandria. Whew, I can measure!
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Got some flurries right now. Deep winter day.
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Mid-Atlantic forum winter 2021/22 snow totals thread
nj2va replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
1/3 - 10” 1/7 - 2.6” Total - 12.6”
