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nj2va

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Everything posted by nj2va

  1. Not that the ICON is ever worth analyzing but to my weenie eyes, it looks like a portion of the s/w phased in with the closed low in the southwest so it was a much weaker vort than 12z. Just one of many solutions on the table - but ICON is a shit model so there's that.
  2. Coming out of the hot mess that was December, its pretty remarkable we're tracking a potential 3rd event in the last two weeks - with a pattern that screams winter weather the rest of the month.
  3. Let me know - happy to meet up for a beer.
  4. I'll be in McHenry this weekend...Euro made me giddy.
  5. Ji will be happy - another snowstorm on the GFS at 384H.
  6. Probably Sunday morning for the extreme SW parts of the area but Sunday afternoon/evening into Monday for the majority of the area. Definitely keep an eye as this is far from being set in stone. Hope the Bills win! Break a few tables in the parking lot for us.
  7. I love how TT just completely skips hours 102 through 144 for the ICON
  8. I'm enjoying the slightly later sunsets - noticeably lighter at 5p now (sunset today is 5:06p - 20ish minutes later than mid December).
  9. Thanks for posting. Do you have this plot for 00z? I subscribe to Pivotal and they have basically no EPS products.
  10. No doubt. Fix that sht now vs April.
  11. I’m terrible luck at games. Sigh. Good beer though.
  12. +1 for a lesson - I did a lesson at Wisp a few years ago and it was definitely helpful. I also think skiing is kind of like golf….you need to keep at it.
  13. Ralph will be in the LR soon discussing why he thinks a perfect pattern worries him b/c something won’t work out and there’s already a breakdown showing up and the OP euro showed exactly how we can fail and he called it and yeah. All those things.
  14. I'm probably way off here but when I was looking at 500, I saw the ocean storm had a different look than GFS and was scooting out of the way - that and the vort diving down from the plains on the CMC was broader in the TN valley than the closed 500 low so I figured it would allow the surface low to reach our area vs being too far SE like the GFS. It honestly could have been a lucky guess on bad analysis lol
  15. Looking at H5 on CMC, this weekend deal should be good for us.
  16. Today will be a day to stay away from the LR thread - its got that feeling where people start panicking.
  17. What an ending to the season, exciting game.
  18. What a comeback. Let’s go tie!
  19. Anyone else rooting for a tie in the SNF game to keep the Steelers from a playoff berth? Hi @NorthArlington101
  20. Braised short ribs, risotto, and arugula salad with Parmesan. I made the short ribs yesterday in a Dutch oven for about 4 hours…cooled it overnight, got a layer of fat off the sauce today, then put it back in the oven for another 90 minutes tonight before dinner. I could have just drank the sauce, it was so good. It was from the NYT Cooking app - Garlic Braised Short Ribs with Red Wine. This is my 3rd time making it - definitely recommend making it the day before…melt in your mouth!
  21. Winds have shifted in Garrett County. Temp down to 39 from an earlier high of 42. Might end as snow out there.
  22. One of the ways to tell a good pattern is coming up is by consistently getting fantasty-land chances on the OP runs, which keeps showing up on almost every model fun. This wasn’t happening last month (and it wasn’t even close).
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