nj2va
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Everything posted by nj2va
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He should just put a 6-11” zone in between. Would make more sense.
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GGEM has single digits N&W of 95 Sunday morning, low teens for the cities. Even if overdone, that’s some impressive cold (yes, realize this setup will scour out the mid levels quickly yadda yadda).
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I’m not following the purple through SEVA on that. It’ll start Monday 1a there but Sunday 1p in NOVA.
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I’ve lived in the area since 2008 and I’m having a hard time remembering a track like this. Not saying that it can’t happen verbatim but to your point, its unusual. It’s kind of remarkable how consistent the major global OPs have been for the last two or so days. Lots of moving parts with this so it could change but we’re now within 72 hours of first flakes so time’s ticking.
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That’s a really fun couple of hours on the GFS on the front end dump for DC. White missles.
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Isn’t that a personal question…..?
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In true mid-atl forum fashion, its every weenie for themselves and I’m now only paying attention to the western area/mountains. but in all seriousness, would like to see the thump/sleet/ice/dry slot scenario for dc and no rain for the 95 corridor.
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Nasty dry slot in WV on that run. It’s the NAM so not worth giving it a bit of attention until tomorrow night/Saturday.
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Wow, did y’all hear pazzo is calling for a march 93 redux? Bold, I like it!
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What if I change my profile pic to the CC radar just as the mix line is on Burke’s doorstep? Does that count?
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K.O.D.
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I’m pretty excited for this event. Mountains look to get whacked.
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Don’t worry about the ways you’ll fail or whether next month has any chances or stuff like that. Just let the weather do its thing. Late December people in this thread were already cancelling winter and look what happened. No one can confidently say what next week, two weeks, or next month will bring.
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GFS has McHenry gusting into the low 50s Sunday night. Check out this panel for the 95 corridor. I’d think overdone but we do wind well around here.
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I'm exhausted dude. The storm last Monday was perfect - basically like 2 days of actual tracking beyond taking a peak here and there in the few days before that. And these types of storms that are forum dividers suck to track.
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Lol at the idea that the NAM will get these features right beyond H48.
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You may just have to ski down your driveway. We were planning on going skiing Monday too but we live up an unpaved hill so I highly doubt I'll be heading out Monday -- maybe some night skiing though.
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Oh yeah...will be there tomorrow evening through Tuesday. Mountains look to get smoked and upslope will be cranking Monday afternoon into the night. They need the snow.
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I'm looking at the sounding on Pivotal - at 1a Monday, the precip type map shows sleet over Winchester. I clicked on the sounding and its basically juuuuuuust under freezing from 800 down with winds at 850 coming out of the NW - S/SE of Winchester is basically 0 for those levels. I only see the 3 hour panels so perhaps in the hours between 10p and 1a there's some mixing going on - but I don't think it's hours upon hours. Those exact details will be worked out tomorrow and Saturday for sure.
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I didn't dig much into the individual members but EPS MSLP and 500 mean track backs up the OP well. MSLP track is central NC to RIC to NE MD/SE PA. There's still about 15 or so that track it east of DC over the Bay/Delmarva. And notably bigger spread shows up by H96 when the mean is over SE PA/NE MD.
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Heights pressing down a bit more over NE through 63. 500 still a bit quicker than 6z and ESE.
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Are you going to be out in WV for this one? Will pad a few inches+ on top of what falls from upslope.
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I think @Ralph Wiggum wrote that.
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To quote @clskinsfan, the ICON is a beatdown for 81/west.
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