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Everything posted by mattskiva
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We got 6" here in Loudoun from that one.
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Feb 12/13 Event Quest for Blues to Envelop More Rather Than Less
mattskiva replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
32 degrees mod SN, about 1.5" here in southeast Loudoun. Been snowing pretty hard for almost 2hr -
Feb 12/13 Event Quest for Blues to Envelop More Rather Than Less
mattskiva replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Eastern Loudoun is WWA -
Fair, but I suspect most of their facebook audience is DC people who care about the weather, not people overseas looking for stories about fish and dams. Also, even if they pick up global/continental weather related stories, I am still not sure how that one has anything whatsoever to do with weather. Except, of course, for the fishnadoes.
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So CWG facebook has been about 4:1 climate change to actual capital weather posts for a while now, but now they are posting about ... fish being impacted by dams? Unless its going to increase the risk of downstream fishnadoes (in which case sign me up)... why?
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Despite what the models say, it very rarely actually works out like that.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
mattskiva replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
One big event, in addition to all the small events and persistent snowpack, would make this a really good winter.- 4,130 replies
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- prime climo
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
mattskiva replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I remember when the Euro was king... apparently the king has been deposed, Game of Thrones style.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
mattskiva replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Still looks like a chance for a decent event here in Loudoun - and maybe a big storm for the Allegheny Front, which is really what I care about this time of year because there are no mountains to ski on the coastal plain.- 4,130 replies
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January 28-29 2022 Miller abcdefu Storm Obs/Discussion
mattskiva replied to mappy's topic in Mid Atlantic
0.75" here in SE Loudoun, snowing the hardest it has all day currently. -
Oh I have no complaints about this winter so far. I would love to see a big storm but I've had like 20 days with 1" or more on the ground, and it's still January. That's more than I can remember in most of the 30 years I've lived in the area. The two small storms and persistent cold kept the snowpack intact until late last week.
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This is just as off-topic - who cares about snow in NYC? There's a NYC forum for that. Nobody is posting about the actual storm at the moment - for obvious reasons
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People prefer air travel. Rail is perceived like buses - for people who can't afford to fly. It has nothing to do with what politicians or "the US" wants -- the market doesn't want trains.
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I believe that. It's expensive! Not kidding I have had colleagues take Acela to NY from DCA for twice what I paid to fly from IAD.
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Given what Acela costs, nobody would be able to afford an actual high speed train. It would be like riding the Concorde. Unless the government paid all the costs. Which is why its pretty clear that the market has no desire to fund trains in this country. If there was market demand, it would exist.
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Acela is often more expensive than the shuttle flights though. To barely go any faster than the regular train. The only advantage is it takes you into the city -- yeah if you live near DCA it makes sense, but not if you live near IAD
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For those of us who live near (west of) IAD, the IAD to BOS flight (or even IAD to EWR/LGA) is way better than driving an hour to union station, parking, and then taking a slow, expensive train to the northeast, I've traveled from NoVA to the northeast hundreds of times in my career and took the train like twice - the number of times it took to realize how dumb that was living close to IAD. And a very large number of tech company commuters who regularly travel the northeast corridor live out here in Loudoun. That's why the flights to those cities are always full and the government has to subsidize Amtrak to keep its empty trains running.
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Presumably Garrett and Tucker will get a lot more from upslope than would show on the models. That usually isn't modeled very well.
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Ah got it. Makes sense. I was in Canaan in 2016 for that storm and was getting worried when there was very little snowfall initially the first day while NoVA was getting crushed, but later that night the upslope kicked in and they got 2 feet.
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I've noticed a lot of these runs, even the ones that drop nothing on the DC/Balt metros, crush Garrett and Tucker counties. Is that wraparound as the storm moves NE? And is that typical in a Miller B scenario?
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
mattskiva replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I seem to recall a few times that (at least out here on the Piedmont) we've done very well with Miller B's- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
mattskiva replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Way too far west at that latitude, as Ji said, congrats Cleveland That would destroy the southern Appalachians though. That's gotta end up like 50" in parts of WV- 4,130 replies
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Yeah, that's a little more surprising. Dulles got 32" in 2010 and 29" in 2016, both of which are close to three feet. But I think the numbers were quite a bit lower at National.
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Parts of the western suburbs got close to that total in both 2010 and 2016, so it's really not that far-fetched. Maybe for the coastal plain, but west of the fall line that is not an outrageous total.
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
mattskiva replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
I only chase snow west, to ski the pow when it hits. I drove out to Canaan the day before the big storm in 2016 and had three crazy days of waist deep powder to ski. Generally I will head out there any time there is more than a foot forecast.