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Wannabehippie

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Everything posted by Wannabehippie

  1. I don't care if the GoM waters are as warm as hell, if that shear doesn't get out of the way, Fred won't be able to do any rapid intensification.
  2. NHC still has it right along the coast of Cuba, or just inland. LLC and MLC definitely not lined up. Once it clears Cuba airspace we will get a better idea of what is going on as the hurricane hunters head back in. Mission from earlier today
  3. Who wants to break it to Turtle that the thunderstorms he is seeing is more likely from the ULL in the GoM, than from Fred which still looks like a disorganized mess. (even if there is a big blow up of convection south of Cuba, well away from the LLC.)
  4. LLC still seems to be along the northern coast of Cuba.
  5. I wonder if potential Grace will get torn apart like Fred did if this course going right over Hispaniola holds true.
  6. Hispaniola will see mudslides, flooding, especially on the Haiti side. The mountains on that side have been denuded of trees for the most part, unlike on the DR side.
  7. That is 11 days out. Lots of time for path, intensity predictions to change. Let me know when it has this within 5 days.
  8. LLC is running parallel to the northern coast of Cuba, the convection is all displaced to the south.
  9. Check where Hurricane Josh is setting up shop. He has a nose for where storms are coming onshore.
  10. upper lows to the NW and NE of Fred, so upper air is not all that favorable right now for any rapid intensifying.
  11. There must be crazy rainfall rates right now in Hispaniola.
  12. All JB cares about is hype to boost page clicks.
  13. Yanks have been playing in a steady rain all night long. I can't believe they never went in to another rain delay, after a delayed start due to lightning in the area.
  14. When is the GFSv16 supposed to take over for the main GFS? Originally it was 'early winter 2021'.
  15. Anyone here an expert on atmospheric science and things like the Polar Vortex?
  16. They need to increase their bandwidth, which needs to be budgeted for. I don't know if it was put in for FY2021 or not, but hopefully it was so they can get it off their hosted servers out to AWS or MS cloud.
  17. I am looking at the 22z HRRR and at the 6Z mark it is showing sleet for the NYC area, but below freezing at all levels. What is going on with that?
  18. You probably would have to get to Mid nassau, especially along the south shore, to get a flip to sleet/freezing rain and rain on the current run right?
  19. Given that it is so far back, I wonder how they determined it was one hurricane and not a couple of them close together.
  20. I am not sure if Josh has lots of courage or is a bit crazy to go chasing these hurricanes.
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