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Wannabehippie

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Everything posted by Wannabehippie

  1. Melissa is starting to expand in size, which is to be expected as it increases in latitude. But is it also starting to interact with the system affecting the northeast US right now as well? blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/1f3f0d59-f4f3-4f1e-85b0-d28463901100
  2. Forward speed really picking up now. 2:00 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 Location: 29.0°N 70.9°W Moving: NE at 30 mph Min pressure: 964 mb Max sustained: 105 mph
  3. I am not sure it will, due to the fact that the system, wind field will expand as it moves north, making it harder to get back to major status. Melissa's lowest pressure is 965mb at the moment.
  4. Trying to rebuild an eye, but it is definitely open to the NE. Looks like shear is inhibiting outflow to the SE quadrant, maybe some dry air being entrained in as well? Starting to really pick up forward speed now as well at 21mph. 8:00 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 Location: 26.8°N 72.7°W Moving: NNE at 21 mph Min pressure: 965 mb Max sustained: 105 mph
  5. 5:00 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 Location: 22.9°N 74.8°W Moving: NE at 16 mph Min pressure: 974 mb Max sustained: 90 mph
  6. Maybe an eye trying to form again? That little dot of a different color in the center of that pink and purple?
  7. Jamaica is a member of the British Commonwealth of Nations. Which means aid will be coming in from all over the world, along with people that will help rebuild the infrastructure, buildings etc.
  8. Water vapor loop, shows dry air and shear to Melissa's west, which is also giving it the kick to move to the NE. Its forward speed is up to 16MPH. blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/d28d79c9-b1dc-4880-a36a-8269bda320bd
  9. Western semicircle not looking great. Lots of deep convection near the center of circulation.
  10. Between Jamaica and Cuba, Melissa got torn apart a bit. Pressure is up to 976, definitely not as healthy as it was yesterday.
  11. I am not sure the plane got dead center of the hurricane. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA_dropsondes.png
  12. 11:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 19.3°N 76.6°W Moving: NE at 9 mph Min pressure: 950 mb Max sustained: 130 mph
  13. If fhose really intense pink colored convection can wrap completely wrap around the center, will we see it reach cat 5 status again before it hits Cuba? Or will it only make it to Cat 3-4?
  14. 952 on first pass, so pretty close to what NHC said at 5pm EDT advisory. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_NOAA2-2513A-MELISSA.png
  15. We probably will find out soon, with the airplanes in there now. What do you think the winds are at?
  16. 5pm EDT advisory has it as a very dangerous cat 4 storm. 5:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 18.5°N 77.7°W Moving: NNE at 8 mph Min pressure: 921 mb Max sustained: 145 mph
  17. Not a surprise given how high some of those mountains are in Jamaica. They do a number on any tropical system. But the eye is about to hit the water again, so time will tell if if re-strengthens once it hits the bathwater temps north of Jamaica
  18. 100% spot on. They will find a place that is sheltered from the wind to broadcast from, or will just hunker down.
  19. As long as the batteries hold out, and they don't get physically blown away, they probably will be able to keep broadcasting. Once their batteries run out, that will be it it for at least a few days.
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