uncle W

45 in Central Park this morning...this is no were near what we have seen this time of the year... Coldest October days to start the month since 1960... 39 on 10/01/1992 38 on 10/02/1974 38 on 10/03/1974 39 on 10/04/1987 38 on 10/05/1965 38 on 10/06/1964 39 on 10/07/1999 37 on 10/08/1988 39 on 10/08/1964 39 on 10/08/2001 37 on 10/09/1988 38 on 10/08/2000 39 on 10/08/1978 36 on 10/10/2000 37 on 10/10/1979 38 on 10/10/1964 34 on 10/11/1964 37 on 10/11/1979

I had my eye on 1959-60 and 1992-93 for a while...59-60 is my top analogue as of now...both had big March storms...

terrible story...

I felt the same way in April...

95 imby today...

I heard flurries was the forecast in 47...great bust... 1947... http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52878037/ http://bklyn.newspapers.com/image/52878066/

I remember all the busts good or bad...1989 had a bad bust in February and one in December...

1963 had a mild October and November but very cold December...coldest week and month came in December that winter...

84 today imby...

............................................................... October temperature and precipitation for NYC... decade....Ave.......high..low......Ave.max/min...max...min......Rainfall 1870's.....55.5.......60.3....50.6......76.0...34.1......85...29......3.55" 1880's.....53.9.......58.8....48.6......77.0...34.1......87...29......3.17" 1890's.....55.5.......59.5....52.5......77.4...37.3......87...34......3.59" 1900's.....57.2.......61.3....52.7......77.1...37.5......82...32......4.39" 1910's.....57.9.......59.4....53.0......80.1...37.1......87...32......4.41" 1920's.....56.8.......61.1....50.6......81.4...35.3......90...29......3.39" 1930's.....57.4.......61.3....54.5......81.2...36.3......91...28......3.22" 1940's.....58.7.......63.6....53.8......84.9...37.8......94...30......2.42" 1950's.....58.6.......61.7....55.5......83.6...38.0......88...33......3.68" 1960's.....58.2.......61.8....55.0......82.2...35.3......86...31......2.45" 1970's.....56.9.......62.7....52.9......78.1...35.7......88...29......3.88" 1980's.....57.0.......61.8....52.8......78.5...37.2......84...31......4.01" 1990's.....57.7.......61.9....54.5......79.1...38.8......86...34......3.85" 2000's.....57.0.......63.6....55.0......79.1...38.1......87...36......5.23" 2010's.....59.1.......64.1....57.1......80.7...38.7......86...33......3.99"...2010-2018 1870--- 2009........56.8.......63.6....48.6......80.0...36.8......94...28......3.66" 1980--- 2009........57.2.......64.1....52.8......78.9...38.0......87...31......4.36" Warmest... 64.1 in 2017 63.6 in 1947 63.6 in 2007 63.1 in 1949 62.7 in 1971 61.9 in 1990 Coolest... 48.6 in 1888 49.7 in 1889 50.6 in 1925 50.6 in 1876 50.9 in 1869 wettest"... 16.73 in 2005 13.31 in 1903 12.97 in 1913 09.00 in 1927 08.63 in 1983 driest... 0.14 in 1963 0.28 in 1924 0.36 in 2013 0.43 in 1879 0.59 in 1892 0.66 in 2001 0.66 in 1909 Snowiest"... 2.9" in 2011 0.8" in 1925 0.5" in 1876 0.5" in 1952 Hottest max.. 94 in 1941 10/5 91 in 1939 10/10 90 in 1927 10/2 90 in 1941 10/6 90 in 1938 10/17 89 in 1922 10/5 Coolest monthly max... 66 in 1888 70 in 1894 70 in 1895 70 in 1977 71 in 1981 Coldest min... 28 in 1936 10/27 29 in 1879 10/25 29 in 1976 10/27 29 in 1976 10/28 29 in 1925 10/31 29 in 1887 10/31 warmest monthly min... 45 in 1946 45 in 1971 44 in 2004 43 in 1994 43 in 1927 Octobers with a temp. 32 or lower... 1876...32 1879...29 1877...29 1889...32 1904...32 1917...32 1925...29 1928...32 1933...32 1936...28 1940...30 1965...32 1969...31 1972...32 1974...31 1975...31 1976...29 1988...31 .................................................................

just enough rain to tip the bucket once...that makes it 0.03" for the week...

2019 makes the list of late season three or more days 80 or above...I'm betting we get another one next week...

93/69 split imby...87 now...

11/21...

that was Jan 19-20th, 1978...only Alan kasper was worried we would get a big hit on his late night show...from Jan. 9th-Feb 7th 1978 there were six major storms that brought rain or snow or both...that was a bad month for letter carriers...

the morning of the March 3rd 1960 storm had a forecast for snow changing to rain on the morning TV news...I was walking on 11th Ave and 63rd St at about 8am with light snow falling...it was 27 degrees and snow was starting to drift near the curb...I said to myself how could this snow change to rain...it could have easy if a coastal that developed near Virginia and bombed out didn't...the weather bureau missed that one...That evening while listing to WMGM on the radio the disc jockey ( Scott Muni ) said 'hey kids...no school tomorrow'...

NYC's driest decade was from 1956-1965...September 1966 had a drought busting event...since 1971 NYC has gotten 20% more rainfall on average than the period 1869-1970...

they blamed it on A bomb testing back then...it is still NYC's longest stretch of 90 degree days...

the December 11-12th 1960 storm is still one of my favorites...16.6" in Bensonhurst...21" at Newark...15.2" in Central Park...record cold followed...then the two disasters spoiled it...it was great to be 11 years old during March 1960 to Feb. 1961 ...four cold windy snowstorms and hurricane Donna...

one of my first weather memories was hearing the wind howling thru the alley way of my house...it was situated almost ne/sw so the ne wind had a funneling effect...it had to be from 1954 when I was five...

late summer early fall warm/hot spells with at least three straight days 80 or higher in NYC... Year..consecutive 80+ Max. 1881..9/23-9/28......6...91 1891..10/3-10/5......3...86 1895..9/20-9/23......4...97 1898..10/3-10/5......3...81 1905..9/28-9/30......3...88 1914..9/20-9/24......5...95 1920..9/23-9/26......4...88 1921..9/28-9/30......3...87 1922..9/30-10/3......4...88 1927..9/30-10/2......3...90 1930..9/20-9/26......7...87 1934..9/23-9/27......5...83 1941..9/21-9/23......3...91 1941..10/4-10/6......3...94 1946..9/25-9/27......3...83 1946..10/4-10/7......4...87 1948..9/27-9/29......3...84 1949..10/9-10/12....4...88 1950..10/1-10/3......3...86 1951..9/19-9/23......5...85 1954..10/1-10/4......4...86 1954..10/11-10/14..4...87 1959..9/21-9/24......4...90 1959..9/27-9/30......4...83 1959..10/4-10/6......3...88 1961..9/22-9/25......4...90 1965..9/21-9/23......3...88 1967..10/3-10/5......3...86 1968..9/17-9/26....10...87 1968..10/1-10/3......3...85 1970..9/21-9/26......6...94 1972..9/25-9/27......3...86 1980..9/21-9/23......3...94 1984..9/23-9/25......3...86 2004..9/21-9/23......3...82 2007..9/25-9/27......3...87 2007..10/4-10/8......5...87 2010..9/22-9/25......4...89 2016..9/20-9/23......4...87 2016..10/17-10/19..3...85 2017..9/21-9/27......7...91 2019..9/21-9/22......3...89

sandy had one of the strongest ao/nao blocks in front of it...it will never happen without a strong block...between 2009-2013 there were many blocking periods...recently the ao/nao has become positive and hopefully that will reverse by December...

Newark NJ...…. least and most 90 degree days for Newark NJ since 1933... year.....total...cons...max...total 100 days... 1933.....18.....….5.....101.....1 1934.....18...…...5.....100.....1 1935.....14...…...3...….96 1936.....22...…...5.....104.....2 1937.....22...…...5.....100.....1 1938.....18...…...3...….95 1939.....24...…...3......95 1940.....15...…...5......99 1941.....27...…...4......97 1942.....15...…...2......98 1943.....31...…...4.....102.....2 1944.....39...…...8.....102.....4 1945.....24...…...5...….99 1946.....11...…...3......95 1947.....22...…...4......99 1948.....26...…...6.....103.....2 1949.....36...…...8.....105.....8 1950.....18...…...4...….98 1951.....18...…...3...….96 1952.....31...…...6.....102.....1 1953.....32...….11.....105.....6 1954.....18...…...3.....103.....2 1955.....32...…...6.....101.....4 1956.....14...…...5...….99 1957.....28...…...5.....101.....1 1958.....21...…...3...….96 1959.....40...…...5.....100.....1 1960.....13...…...4...….94 1961.....34...…...4...….98 1962.....14...…...4...….98 1963.....20...…...6.....100.....1 1964.....26...…...4...….99 1965.....26...…...4...….97 1966.....33...…...5.....105.....5 1967...….7...…...3...….95 1968.....23...…...4...….98 1969.....15...…...3...….96 1970.....22...…...5...….94 1971.....22...…...5...….96 1972.....21...….12...….96 1973.....31...….11.....100.....1 1974.....18...…...4...….98 1975.....12...…...4...….98 1976.....14...…...3...….93 1977.....26...…...9.....102.....2 1978.....16...…...5...….98 1979.....20...…...5...….96 1980.....27...…...4.....101.....2 1981.....21...…...8...….98 1982.....12...…...4.....100.....1 1983.....40...…...7...….99 1984.....22...…...5...….97 1985.....11...…...3...….97 1986.....22...…...5.....100.....1 1987.....37...…...8...….98 1988.....43...….20.....101.....5 1989.....27...…...6...….99 1990.....26...…...4...….98 1991.....41...…...7.....102.....2 1992.....22...…...3...….98 1993.....49...….10.....105.....9 1994.....39...…...5.....102.....2 1995.....33...….12.....104.....1 1996...….9...…...3...….99 1997.....20...…...6.....101.....2 1998.....21...…...4...….98 1999.....33...…...8.....103.....3 2000.....16...…...4...….96 2001.....22...…...5.....105.....3 2002.....41...….10.....100.....2 2003.....20...…...5...….95 2004.....13...…...2...….97 2005.....37...…...5.....102.....3 2006.....31...….10.....101.....3 2007.....21...…...4...….97 2008.....22...…...7...….99 2009.....11...…...7...….95 2010.....54...….14.....103.....4 2011.....31...…...5.....108.....4 2012.....33...….11.....104.....3 2013.....25...…...7.....101.....2 2014.....15...…...3...….96 2015.....35...…...9...….98 2016.....40...…...8...….99 2017.....22...…...4...….99 2018.....36...…...6...….98 2019.....27...…...4...….99 2020.....

1.01" today...

0.80" so far from this string of moisture...looks like outflow rains...