uncle W

Staten Island on Victory Blvd. and Graham ave where I used to live...

yeah we would need an asteroid strike or an eruption of a super volcano to get back to 1800 cold...

it did get colder in Feb...it remains to be seen what and if a SSW event does to our sensible weather...

some years had a 4" storm before the next big one...1898 had a big storm of 10 " in November and the next big one came in Feb...1899 had snow before the next big one...The winter is going the way that 1973-74 did...warm in the means but a snowstorm mixed in...73 had more ice...if it continues on that page the first part of January had some snow...arctic blast the third week...big thaw the end of January...

radar shows flurries heading for NYC...

the forecast is for a near -4sd AO...its not a bad sign...makes me think something will pop in the first two weeks of January...

seasons greatings...Christmas 1961

we missed by one week having a great Chistmas storm...1964 was a shock to me after five straight years with snow for Christmas...near 70 Christmas day in Newark...three straight 60 degree days in a row...January 65 was a good month with snow on four straight week ends...bad luck kept this month from being memorable...

warmest Christmas's...2020 becomes the 8th time that Christmas had temps in the 60's... year...max/min 1889....64 43 snowy March... 1893....58 45 Snowy February... 1900....59 44 1915....55 38 snowy March... 1932....59 47 snowy February... 1933....55 34 snowy cold February 1936....56 40 1940....62 38 snowy March... 1964....60 49 snowy January... 1965....59 47 snowy January... 1979....61 50 1982....64 41 snowy February... 1986....53 43 snowy January... 1987....53 48 snowy January... 1988....53 37 1994....59 41 snowy February... 2005....54 39 big Feb. Snow... 2008....57 33 average snow... 2014....62 44 50" snow season... 2015....66 57 big January snow... 2016....50 36 Feb/Mar snow... 2020....

Dec 5-6th 2003 had two days with snow with a few hours of nothing...?

well 1883 had 8" on the 24th...after a 12 hour lull another 5" fell Christmas day...

12/24...11.4"...the only year with a ten inch snowfall in Dec without another near 6" snowfall or bigger after December...

there is still one member in the ao forecast that goes against the grain...I doubt its right...

1955, 1964, 2008 all suffered the same faith...Christmas eve 1964 was one og the foggiest nights I can remember...the snow that was on the ground for 5 days melted before midnight...

the only year when NYC got a 10" snowfall in December and did not get another storm near 6" was 1912-13...

you dont get 10" storms every other week...usually its every other year...I think the first half of January will be interesting...then a big thaw the last ten days...

Did I imagine what happened a week ago?...I imagine we will see that again in February...

a half inch on 4/10 with a record low of 28...Feb 8th 1974 had the largest storm that was 6"...Freehold NJ scored a 11" storm on 2/25///

1973-74 is a good analog for this winter so far...that year had the ice storm on 12/16-17...snow and ice on Jan 3rd-4th and 9th-10th...Big thaw the last week in January...Feb starts with frequent light sleet and snow...a surprise 6" snowfall on the 8th...snow on 2/25 is heavy south of the city...surprise snowstorm on 3/29...parting shot on April 10th...snowfall is way ahead of that year so far...10.5" to 2.8"...all we need is the same totals 73-74 had the rest of the way to get to 30" for the season...

these are the years with at least one day having a -5sd AO...since 1950... 1959-60.....11/18...11/19... 1962-63.....01/21... 1965-66.....01/28... 1968-69.....02/13...02/15... 1969-70.....03/04...03/05...03/06...03/07...03/08...03/09...03/10... 1976-77.....12/28...12/29...01/11...01/12..01/13...01/14...01/15...01/16...01/17 1977-78.....02/05...02/06... 1984-85.....01/18...01/19...01/20... 2002-03.....10/18... 2009-10.....12/20...12/21...12/22...12/23...12/24...12/25...01/03...01/04...01/05...01/06...02/06...02/14... 2010-11.....12/18... 2012-13.....03/19...03/20...03/21...03/22... ..................................................................... dates..................-AO 1...01/15/1977.....-7.433... 2...01/16/1977.....-7.331... 3...01/14/1977.....-7.311... 4...01/13/1977.....-6.520... 5...03/05/1970.....-6.365... 6...01/19/1985.....-6.226... 7...01/17/1977.....-6.168... 8...03/06/1970.....-6.114... 9...03/04/1970.....-5.918... 10 11/18/1959.....-5.896... 11 12/21/2009.....-5.821... 12 01/12/1977.....-5.802... 13 01/18/1985.....-5.693... 14 03/20/2013.....-5.688... 15 01/20/1985.....-5.581... 16 12/23/2009.....-5.577... 17 11/19/1959.....-5.545... 18 01/03/2010.....-5.533... 19 03/07/1970.....-5.525... 20 03/09/1970.....-5.519... 21 12/22/2009.....-5.508... 22 01/04/2010.....-5.403... 23 03/21/2013.....-5.399... 24 01/02/2010.....-5.384... 25 12/20/2009.....-5.341... 26 01/11/1977.....-5.333... 27 03/08/1970.....-5.320... 28 02/05/1978.....-5.291... 29 12/29/1976.....-5.287... 30 02/13/1969.....-5.282... 31 12/18/2010.....-5.265... 32 12/24/2009.....-5.256... 33 03/22/2013.....-5.240... 34 12/28/1976.....-5.206... 35 02/06/2010.....-5.205... 36 03/19/2013.....-5.193... 37 01/05/2010.....-5.180... 38 02/14/2010.....-5.132... 39 01/28/1966.....-5.130... 40 03/10/1970.....-5.115... 41 02/15/1969.....-5.102... 42 10/18/2002.....-5.098... 43 12/25/2009.....-5.052... 44 02/06/1978.....-5.026... 45 01/21/1963.....-5.010...

first thing is January 1967 was very mild with temps near 70 late in the month...a super thaw before a super pattern...the 1966 snowstorm started Christmas eve morning and ended around 4am Christmas morning...I don't think there has ever been a snowstorm Christmas eve noon to Christmas day noon...1912 had an 11" snowstorm Christmas eve but ended before midnight...1961 had a 6" storm that ended at midnight Christmas eve...1883 had 8" of snow Christmas eve day...then a lull untill another 5" christmas day...I never woke up Christmas morning with snow falling...1962 came close with light snow from late morning to the early afternoon...

1995 was colder...Dec will probably end up averaging closer to 2008 or 1959...if NYC hits 60 again this month it would be the third warm up 60 or higher...a typical la nina roller coaster...a warmer version of 1966-67...

the Dec 21-22, 1959 storm had 6-15" in the city...6" at Battery Park and 15" in the Bronx...13.7" in Central Park...8" in Brooklyn...