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Everything posted by uncle W
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there will probably be coastal flooding in the usual spots with this storm...maybe the unusual spots if it stalls long enough...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
this is a list of the biggest February snowstorms ranked by LE... 4.43"...17.5"...02/04-07/1920...mid 20's to low 30's...snow/ice/sleet for over 72 hours... 2.68"...12.5"...02/20/1921........mid 30's to low 20's...started as rain/sleet/ice... 2.62"...17.4"...02/03-04/1961...upper 20's to low 30's...changed to sleet/rain for a time... 2.22"...10.4"...02/03-04/1926...mid 20's to 30...mixed with sleet and ice... 2.08"...12.5"...02/13-14/2014...mid 20's to mid 30's to mid 20's...changed to rain for 12 hours... 1.86"...26.9"...02/11-12/2006...upper 20's...all snow... 1.82"...15.3"...02/09-10/1969...mid 30's to mid 20's... 1.78"...19.8"...02/16-17/2003...single digits to mid 20's... 1.53"...11.4"...02/08-09/2013...mid 30's to upper 20's...started as mix... 1.49"...17.6"...02/11-12/1983...upper teens to low 20's... 1.33"...10.0"...02/10/2010........low 30's... 1.26"...10.8"...02/04/1995........low to mid 30's...ended as rain... 1.13"...17.7"...02/06-07/1978...low 20's to low 30's... 1.09"...12.8"...02/11/1994.........mid teens to mid 20's...ended as ice... 1.06"...12.5"...02/07/1967.........mid teens to single digits... 1.04"...11.0"...02/03-04/1876...teens/20's... -
the people living next to lithium mines will have a different take on this...
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you gotta love tracking snowstorms...one day its to far south...the next day its to far north...theres time for more wobbles before it gets here...
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this is one of those storms when my back yard should get more than Manhattan and the Bronx...since I moved here I'v been on the low side of most storms...
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this guy knows his stuff...he talks about electric motorcycles later in the video...
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I was talking about reliability of their cars...many companies are in the electric car race...the battery range gets better every year...
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I hope the electric cars are better than the crap they are selling now...
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some of the driest snow I ever saw...I broomed 9" of it...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the first real cold and look what comes after...I don't think its the last cold shot of the season...maybe just the start... -
no humans in Central park...
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Miller b's can become miller bs for some...I'm hoping for the best for the area...
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these are the NYC 10" or greater storms with no mixing or change to rain... all snow events LE... year.....LE.....snow..... 1947....2.40".....26.4" Dec... 2016....2.32".....27.5" Jan... 1996....2.16".....20.2" Jan... 2006....1.86".....26.9" Feb... 1969....1.82".....15.3" Feb... 2003....1.78".....19.8" Feb... 2010....1.61".....20.0" Dec... 1948....1.58".....16.0" Dec... 1983....1.49".....17.6" Feb... 2010....1.33".....10.0" 2/9 storm...not sure if this was all snow? 2005....1.18".....13.8" Jan... 1956....1.16".....11.6" Mar... 1978....1.13".....17.7" Feb... 1879....1.12".....13.0" Jan... 1912....1.10".....11.4" Dec... 1960....1.08".....14.5" Mar... 1967....1.06".....12.5" Feb... 1876....1.04".....11.0" Feb... 1933....1.04".....11.2" Dec... 1935....0.99".....13.0" Jan... 1947....0.98".....10.7" Feb... 1926....0.96".....12.0" Feb... 1959....0.96".....13.7" Dec... 2003....0.93".....14.0" Dec... 2000....0.92".....12.0" Dec... 1979....0.89".....12.7" Feb... 1964....0.88".....12.5" Jan... 1960....0.86".....15.2" Dec... 2009....0.74".....10.9" Dec... 1899....0.70".....16.0" Feb... 1916....0.59".....12.7" Dec... 1996....0.52".....10.7" Feb... 1905....0.51".....11.0" Jan... 1961....0.50"......9.9" Jan... 2014....0.48".....11.5" Jan...
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I'm not expecting an all out bomb like 2006 but a smaller version maybe 8-10" with no significant mixing
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I'm rooting for Feb 1st so I can pat myself on the back...oops...I just jinxed it...
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Jan 2018 had a cold snowstorm...colder than 2016...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
winters coldest max...total days max below 20... 19 or lower max's and low max... 2019-20...0....25 2018-19...2....14 2017-18...5....13 2016-17...0....23 2015-16...1....15 2014-15...1....19 2013-14...3....17 2012-13...0....20 2011-12...0....27. 2010-11...0....23. 2009-10...0....20 2008-09...1....16 2007-08...0....20 2006-07...1....18 2005-06...0....24 2004-05...2....18 2003-04...4....15 2002-03...1....15 2001-02...0....31 2000-01...0....25 1999-00...1....19 1998-99...0....25. 1997-98...0....29. 1996-97...1....17 1995-96...3....17 1994-95...0....20 1993-94...5....10 1992-93...0....27 1991-92...0....23 1990-91...0....20 1989-90...1....18 1988-89...0....20. 1987-88...1....17 1986-87...1....19 1985-86...0....22 1984-85...1......9 1983-84...3....13 1982-83...0....21 1981-82...6....15 1980-81...3....14 1979-80...0....21 1978-79...6....13 1977-78...0....21 1976-77...5....12 1975-76...2....15 1974-75...0....27 1973-74...0....22 1972-73...1....18. 1971-72...1....15 1970-71...4....12 1969-70...3....14 1968-69...0....22 1967-68...4....13 1966-67...1....16 1965-66...1....19 1964-65...3....16 1963-64...0....22 1962-63...1....13 1961-62...0....24 1960-61...2....19 1959-60...0....23 1958-59...0....22 1957-58...2....10 1956-57...1....12 1955-56...1....18 1954-55...1....17 1953-54...0....21 1952-53...0....29. 1951-52...0....20 1950-51...0....20 1949-50...0....22 1948-49...0....22. 1947-48...2....18. ...................................................................... 1942-43...2......8. 1935-36...4....16 1934-35...5....16 1933-34...6......8. 1917-18.12......2. -
la nina February's with at least a 4" snowstorm in Central Park... 2/1/1957...........6.3"... 2/6-7/1972........4.7" 2/19/1972.........5.7" 2/23/1972.........5.2"... 2/7/1967.........12.5"... 2/8/1974...........6.0"... 2/12/1975.........7.8"... 2/5-6/1976........4.0"... 2/3/1985...........4.3"... 2/5-6/1985........5.7"... 2/7/1986...........4.5"... 2/11/1986.........4.5" 2/2-3/1996........7.2"... 2/16-17/1996..10.7"... 2/23-24/2001....5.8"... 2/11-12/2006..26.9"... 2/22/2008.........6.0"... 2/3/2009...........4.3"... 2/9/2017...........9.4"... 2/17/2018.........4.4"...
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storms like this give my area the most snow...The last time NYC got a snowstorm on Feb 1st was when I was in the second grade...1957...I remember watching it snow from my school window...that night there was a plane crash on Rikers Island...
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a 6-8" event would be great after weeks of futility...
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
uncle W replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
the coldest so far this winter in Central park is 20 set in December...19 is the record for the highest winter min set in 2002...I think February has the coldest temp this year and maybe the biggest snow... -
we should be around 40" for the season acording to clown maps...they are a joke most of the time...
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the ao was close to neutral for the Feb 1961 storm but it was negative from late dec to late jan that year...the change to a more positive ao ended the record snowy and cold period...the nao went slightly negative for the storm after being mostly positive since early January...pna remained mostly positive... daily ao... 1961 1 29 -0.203 1961 1 30 0.277 1961 1 31 0.344 1961 2 1 0.051 1961 2 2 0.198 1961 2 3 0.056 1961 2 4 0.057 1961 2 5 0.008 1961 2 6 0.715 1961 2 7 0.997 nao 1961 1 31 0.407 1961 2 1 0.126 1961 2 2 -0.048 1961 2 3 -0.126 1961 2 4 -0.079 1961 2 5 -0.002 1961 2 6 -0.010 1961 2 7 -0.178 pna... 1961 1 30 0.182 1961 1 31 0.105 1961 2 1 0.462 1961 2 2 0.553 1961 2 3 0.489 1961 2 4 0.554 1961 2 5 0.779 1961 2 6 0.435 1961 2 7 0.131 the Feb 1994 storm had a neg pna but it was positive a week before...ao was neg just before the storm...nao was positive like most of that winter... 1994 1 26 0.064 1994 1 27 0.139 1994 1 28 0.350 1994 1 29 0.532 1994 1 30 0.776 1994 1 31 1.076 1994 2 1 1.089 1994 2 2 0.671 1994 2 3 0.214 1994 2 4 0.141 1994 2 5 0.038 1994 2 6 -0.017 1994 2 7 -0.189 1994 2 8 -0.454 1994 2 9 -0.569 1994 2 10 -0.560 1994 2 11 -0.589 ao... 1994 2 1 1.535 1994 2 2 1.599 1994 2 3 0.503 1994 2 4 -0.865 1994 2 5 -1.166 1994 2 6 -1.451 1994 2 7 -1.321 1994 2 8 -0.483 1994 2 9 -0.055 1994 2 10 0.538 1994 2 11 0.892 1994 2 12 1.148 1994 2 13 0.848 nao... 1994 2 1 1.227 1994 2 2 1.150 1994 2 3 0.780 1994 2 4 0.492 1994 2 5 0.436 1994 2 6 0.342 1994 2 7 0.303 1994 2 8 0.296 1994 2 9 0.379 1994 2 10 0.765 1994 2 11 0.927 1994 2 12 1.058
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OBs and nowcast later Tuesday morning - Noon Wednesday 1/26-27
uncle W replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro