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Everything posted by uncle W
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two myths killed this Summer so far...11 year hot summer cycle and the 17 year Cicada bug cycle...
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this will be the coolest July for the 11 year hot Summer cycle since 1933... Year July... 1933...75.8 1944...79.4 1955...80.9 1966...79.7 1977...79.0 1988...79.3 1999...81.4 2010...81.3... 2021...76.8?..
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looking at the oni table I came up with years that were a second la nina winter but had a lull in between them... year...DJF JFM FMA MAM AMJ MJJ JJA JAS ASO SON OND NDJ 2021 -1.0..-0.9..-0.8..-0.7..-0.5..-0.4? 2011 -1.4..-1.2...-0.9..-0.7..-0.6..-0.4..-0.5..-0.6 -0.8 -1.0. -1.1. -1.0 2008 -1.6.-1.5...-1.3..-1.0..-0.8...-0.6..-0.4..-0.2 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 -0.7 1974 -1.8..-1.6...-1.2..-1.0..-0.9...-0.8..-0.5..-0.4 -0.4 -0.6 -0.8 -0.6 1984 -0.6.-0.4..-0.3..-0.4.-0.5...-0.4..-0.3..-0.2 -0.2 -0.6 -0.9 -1.1
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the solution that sounds simple but might work is plant trees and stop raping the rain forests...
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it will never happen in the real world...
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there was a smoke problem coming from the SE in 1995 if I remembered right...
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and we think we have problems here...who knows...maybe we are next...
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the Sun has a red ring around it making it even better than the others...
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we are getting hit from both sides with smoke to the north and dust to the south...no way it hits 90 where I am up in the poconos...its 78 and smokey now...
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the last time a second year la nina with a lull during the summer was 2011-12...there was a big gap between 2016-17 and 2017-18 la ninas..2008-09, 1984-85 and 1974-75...lets hope another la nina forms because of a neutral after nina winter scenario...1996-97 comes to mind...85-86 and 2001-02 too...
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
uncle W replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I drove thru some heavy rain getting off the bridge and driving down Hylan Blvd...it looked like very little rain fell where I live though...- 382 replies
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- flash flooding
- severewx
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Newark NJ is averaging close to 79.0 degrees for July...since 1950 the average is 77.7...last year averaged 80.8...many more 80's for the average in recent years compared to the 50's-70's... 1950-59..........76.82 1960-69..........76.10 1970-79..........77.27 1980-89..........78.31 1990-99..........78.72 2000-09..........76.63 2010-19...........79.87
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my block got some thunder and lightning and a few drops from both storms...one to the north and one to the south...
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2009 was a very cool Summer with the warmest part coming in August...1960 was similar...the following winters yielded over 50" of snow each...
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day time highs could be as much as four degrees cooler and two degrees warmer for the lows...Central Park went down hill when the weather service moved out of NYC 50 miles east...
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did they research night time lows the same way?...its a hard way to radiate with a tree branch hanging over...
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then they don't care about the problem...it could be a question about who will pay for the foilage trimming...
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Brooklyn had a 6" deluge in June 1962 while everywhere else did not reach 2"...since Central Park has 150 years of record I used that tiny spot in the Park...
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its all localized during Thunderstorm season...
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I looked up some of the wettest storms for July in NYC...July 1980 had a deluge of 3.47" in 8 hours...1997 had a 29 hour storm accumulating 4.62"...I'm not sure if I missed any storms on this list... 4.62"...7/24-25/1997...29 hours...3am-7am... 4.35"...7/26-27/2000...30 hours...3am-8am... 4.33"...7/05-06/1901...not sure if this was one storm or two... 4.06"...7/08-09/2021...21 hours...2pm-11am... 3.98"...7/30-31/1889...26 hours...12pm-2pm... 3.60"...7/29-30/1971...26 hours...2pm-3pm... 3.56"...7/30/1960.........15 hours...1am-3pm... 3.47"...7/29/1980...........8 hours...8am-3pm...2.59" between 9am-11am...
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Sun July 11-Mon July 19 Pockets of FF/SVR and a modest heat wave
uncle W replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
at lunch time its 85 on Staten Island with dim sum...- 382 replies
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- flash flooding
- severewx
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(and 1 more)
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