uncle W

la nina Dec with a neg ao...

without blocking it doesn't matter what the enso is next winter...

91

do you eat and chit...then you're guilty...

1967 was one of the coldest years in the ne and the winter of 67-68 was very cold. I doubt we will se that this year. Probably milder and wetter with more snow than 67-68 in nyc…twt

I have the answer...move all the earths people to Mars...by the time Mars is polluted the earth will have clensed itself...then we move back and repeat the process...

communisim...

teah but I said malace which explains my stupidity...

14 cold...10 average...8 mild...;10 snowy...7 near average...15 with less snow than average...

NYC la nina winters and weak negative winters...blue is colder or snowier than average...black near average...red is above average... I added weak negative years...-0.3 or lower for DJF tri monthly oni...coldest to warmest... la nina winters...DJF ONI...A.T....min....30 day cold...snowfall...biggest snowfalls... 1962-63..............-0.4.......30.0....-2..........28.6..........16.3"..........4.2" 1967-68..............-0.6.......31.3....-1..........25.1..........19.5"..........6.6" 1970-71...............-1.4.......32.1.....4..........24.2..........15.5"..........6.4" 1995-96..............-0.9.......32.3.....5..........27.7..........75.6"..........20.2" 10.7" 7.5" 4.6" 4.6" 4.1" 2010-11...............-1.4.......32.7.....6..........28.1..........61.9"..........20.0" 19.0" 9.1" 5.0" 1955-56..............-1.1.......32.7.....5..........27.6..........33.5"..........11.6" 6.5" 4.2" 2013-14..............-0.4.......33.0.....4..........28.5..........57.4"..........12.5" 11.5" 8.0" 6.4" 5.0" 4.0" 1964-65..............-0.6.......33.3.....9..........28.0..........24.4"..........6.3" 4.6" 1985-86..............-0.5.......33.4.....8..........31.0..........13.0"..........4.5" 4.5" 2000-01..............-0.7.......33.5...14..........29.9..........35.0"..........12.0" 6.0" 5.7" 1954-55..............-0.6.......34.0.....0..........28.6..........11.5"..........3.9" 1966-67..............-0.4.......34.1.....4..........28.6..........51.5"..........12.5" 9.8" 7.1" 2008-09..............-0.8.......34.2.....6..........27.9..........27.6"..........8.3" 4.5" 4.3" 1975-76...............-1.6.......34.4....-1..........27.1..........17.3"..........4.2" 4.0" 1971-72...............-0.7.......35.1.....5..........28.6..........22.9"..........5.7" 5.2" 1983-84..............-0.6.......35.2.....4..........26.1..........25.4"..........6.9" 5.1" 4.6" 1973-74...............-1.8.......35.5.....6..........32.3..........23.5"..........6.0" 4.3" 1950-51..............-0.8.......35.9.....9..........33.0..........11.6"..........3.0" 1988-89..............-1.7.......35.9.....5..........32.4............8.1"..........5.0" 2020-21..............-1.0........36.1...14...........30.4..........38.6".........17.4" 10.5" 4.5" 4.4" 1999-00..............-1.7.......36.2.....3..........26.2..........16.3"..........5.5" 2017-18...............-0.8.......36.2.....5..........27.1...........40.9"..........9.8" 8.4" 5.5" 4.6" 4.4" 2007-08..............-1.6.......36.4...10..........35.7..........11.9"..........6.0" 1984-85..............-1.0.......36.4....-2..........27.5..........24.1".........5.7" 4.8" 4.3" 4.1" 2012-13..............-0.4.......36.9...11...........31.5..........26.1"..........11.4" 4.7" 2005-06..............-0.9.......37.3...14..........33.5..........40.0"..........26.9" 5.8" 1949-50..............-1.5.......37.5.....6..........31.6..........13.8"..........3.8" 1974-75..............-0.5.......37.5...15..........33.0..........13.1"..........7.8" 1996-97..............-0.5.......37.8.....4..........31.7..........10.0"..........3.5" 1998-99..............-1.5.......38.7.....9..........31.3..........12.7"..........4.5" 2016-17...............-0.3.......39.3...14..........35.4.........30.2".........9.4" 7.6" 5.1" 2011-12...............-0.9........40.5...13..........37.0............7.4"..........4.3"

I was just stiring the pot...or smoking it...this year could be the first 1-2 winter with over 40" and a foot or bigger snowstorm...its time to buck the trend...

how do these fires get started?...the more people living in dry places the more fires will start...either from stupidity or malace...you might get a dry thunder storm here and there with lightning...if you start a fire and it burns thousands of acres and kills animals and people you should pay a big price...

2017-18...

1995-96, 2000-01 and 2010-11 were la nina's with at least strong blocking in December and lesser the rest of the year...these years had big storms in December...

we are headed for the ten year snow drought cycle or coincidence where since 1871 no year ending in two had over 31.4"...that was 1881-82...1901-02 had 30.0" and a major storm...1981-82 was bailed out by a 9.6" storm in April...the best of these years would be near average for snowfall in todays world... 2011-12.....7.4" 2001-02.....3.5" 1991-92...12.6" 1981-82...24.6" 1971-72...22.9" 1961-62...18.1" 1951-52...19.7" 1941-42...11.3" 1931-32...5.3" 1921-22...27.8" 1911-12...29.5" 1901-02...30.0" 1891-92...25.4" 1881-82...31.4" 1871-72...14.1"

no need to because this summer has seen its share of heat waves and drenching rains...

Extreme heat days 95 or higher in NYC.....16 in 1955*13 in 1988*12 in 195312 in 199312 in 1999*12 in 200210 in 1944*10 in 19809.. in 20059.. in 19839.. in 1966*8.. in 19638.. in 19918.. in 2010*

some other years when the pna was at least +2 around this date... 8/4/2020...2.403 8/2/2018...2.203 8/8/2014...2.484 8/1/2009...3.160 8/2/1962...2.186 8/1/1960...1.999

2021 has the 12th hottest temperature for Newark (tied seven other years) back on 6/30... Newarks hottest temps... 108 7/12/2011 105 9/2/1953 105 8/9/2001 105 7/10/1993 105 7/8/1993 105 7/4/1949 105 7/3/1966 104 7/18/2012 104 7/15/1995 104 7/9/1993 104 7/9/1936 103 6/30/2021+ previous years...

its really the 22nd warmest but warm none the less...

top 13 if you count the years...1987 would be top 5 if it started three days sooner...

the last four days in August 1953 were 100 degrees or higher at Newark...Sept 2nd was 105 in Newark for the warmest of the summer and fifth time in six days 100 or better...1976's hottest day at Newark was 93 first hit in April and tied in June and August...

last winter had the first storm that was a foot or more since 2015-16 and first 9" since 2017-18......there was an eight year drought of 9" storms from 1969-70-1976-77...a longer drought from 1983-84 to 1991-92...since 2009-10 we had nine years out of twelve with at least one 9" or greater storm...1960's had 12" storms five out of ten years...from 2000-01 to 2005-06 NYC had five years with a foot or bigger storm... year............9" storms...12" storms... 1959-60.....2....................2 1960-61.....3....................2 1963-64.....1....................1 1966-67.....2....................1 1968-69.....1....................1 1977-78.....2....................2 1978-79.....1....................1 1981-82.....1....................0 1982-83.....1....................1 1992-93.....1....................0 1993-94.....2....................1 1994-95.....1....................0 1995-96.....2....................1 2000-01.....1....................1 2002-03.....1....................1 2003-04.....2....................1 2004-05.....1....................1 2005-06.....1....................1 2009-10.....3....................1 2010-11.....3....................2 2012-13.....1....................0 2013-14.....2....................1 2014-15.....1....................0 2015-16.....1....................1 2016-17.....1....................0 2017-18.....1....................0 2020-21.....2...................1 9" storms... 1960's........5 years.....9 storms... 1970's........2 years.....3 storms... 1980's........2 years.....2 storms... 1990's........4 years.....6 storms... 2000's........5 years.....6 storms... 2010's........8 years.....13 storms... 2020's........1. year.........1 storm 12" storms... 1960's........5 years.....7 storms... 1970's........2 years.....3 storms,,, 1980's........1 year.......1 storm... 1990's........2 years.....2 storms... 2000's........5 years.....5 storms... 2010's........4 years.....5 storms... 2020's........1 years.....1 storms...

3/18...then a snowstorm the first day of spring...

1973 came close...