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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Today will be our warmest day of the week along with some relatively high humidity for late September. Today’s highs will be in the upper 70's in the higher spots to lower 80's in valley locations. A couple of degrees cooler tomorrow followed by our chilliest weather so far this autumn season with highs by mid-week remaining in the 60's and morning lows well down into the 40's with even some 30's possible for our colder valley locations. We look dry through the entire week. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today will be our warmest day of the week along with some relatively high humidity for late September. Today’s highs will be in the upper 70's in the higher spots to lower 80's in valley locations. A couple of degrees cooler tomorrow followed by our chilliest weather so far this autumn season with highs by mid-week remaining in the 60's and morning lows well down into the 40's with even some 30's possible for our colder valley locations. We look dry through the entire week. -
Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Any morning sun will fade behind clouds this afternoon. Some showers should start overspreading the area from south to north after 7pm this evening. Most spots across Chester County could see between 0.25" to 0.50" of rain. The sun returns tomorrow with continued above normal temperatures in the upper 70's. This will continue through early in the work week before we start a big cool down by the middle of the week. Of note you will see in the climate records below that 40 years ago today back in 1985 we experienced heavy rain across the area as a result of Hurricane Gloria. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Any morning sun will fade behind clouds this afternoon. Some showers should start overspreading the area from south to north after 7pm this evening. Most spots across Chester County could see between 0.25" to 0.50" of rain. The sun returns tomorrow with continued above normal temperatures in the upper 70's. This will continue through early in the work week before we start a big cool down by the middle of the week. Of note you will see in the climate records below that 40 years ago today back in 1985 we experienced heavy rain across the area as a result of Hurricane Gloria. -
https://www.freedom-research.org/p/us-climate-report-the-climate-research
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Rain totals over the last 3 days include East Nantmeal 1.22" / Atglen 1.56" / Chester Springs 1.31" / Devault 1.73" / Glenmoore 1.20" / Kennett Square 1.74" / West Bradford 1.64" / Nottingham 0.93"/Warwick 0.57" and West Chester 1.13". We should see some sun today as we dry out and see humidity levels drop. Today should be the warmest day for quite a while. Highs will be well into the 70's to 80 degrees in valley spots. We start cooling down tomorrow and in fact by next Thursday some of the higher spots may struggle to escape the upper 50's for high temperatures. We should see lows well down into the 40's by midweek as we start the month of Red October - Go Phillies! Our only chance of rain looks to be Saturday night with another 0.25" to 0.50" possible.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Rain totals over the last 3 days include East Nantmeal 1.22" / Atglen 1.56" / Chester Springs 1.31" / Devault 1.73" / Glenmoore 1.20" / Kennett Square 1.74" / West Bradford 1.64" / Nottingham 0.93"/Warwick 0.57" and West Chester 1.13". We should see some sun today as we dry out and see humidity levels drop. Today should be the warmest day for quite a while. Highs will be well into the 70's to 80 degrees in valley spots. We start cooling down tomorrow and in fact by next Thursday some of the higher spots may struggle to escape the upper 50's for high temperatures. We should see lows well down into the 40's by midweek as we start the month of Red October - Go Phillies! Our only chance of rain looks to be Saturday night with another 0.25" to 0.50" possible. -
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You lost me with another climate forecast that will as have the others not verify "Even a one-meter rise in global sea level, plausible by 2100"....it is of course not plausible and in fact almost impossible to see a 3 foot rise in the next 75 years!!
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I suspect even if we were to assume (which is a huge leap of faith) that these future climate model predictions were to come to pass....I suspect a change from an average annual temp of 56f (13c) degrees today warms by 4c as in the mid-Pilocene period to 63f (17c) would for folks in that area allow them to easily deal with your scary "unmanageable world" albeit with a longer growing season and less snow. The scam and hoax Trump speaks of are the very words and fear you trade in above. By using terms and images such as "consigned them to an unmanageable world" you are trying to scare folks into believing yet another in a long line of failed climate predictions. Again we are all still waiting for that firsts proven disaster that we can attribute to this scary climate change we keep hearing about.
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Climate Depot's Marc Morano comments on President Trumps incredible UN speech. "will go down in history as the most powerful, honest, and accurate climate speech ever given by a world leader. Trump's speech --delivered face-to-face to a stunned UN General Assembly -- was awesome -- historically awesome! Trump eloquently mocked UN climate tipping points and the climate catastrophes that never happened. Trump hit every central tenet of the climate movement, from failed doomsday predictions, to the 'green scam' to the 'hoax' of 'carbon footprints,' to past warnings about global cooling, to how 'the radicalized environmentalists' want to 'kill all the cows,' to how Net Zero 'redistributes manufacturing' to China. Trump reached the pinnacle of his speech by summing up climate change as 'the greatest con job ever perpetuated on the world.' Historians will look back at Trump's climate masterstroke as heralding the long-overdue end of the UN/Gore climate narrative. It was not long ago that most GOP politicians were terrified to challenge 'climate change', but now we finally have a U.S. president who is leading the world in beating back the unscientific climate nonsense." Finally we are moving past the fear mongering of the climate religion!
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We have picked up another 0.14" since midnight bringing our 3-day rain total here in East Nantmeal to 0.77" of much needed rain. Looking downstream more rain is on the way later this morning. The NWS has a forecast potential of another 0.50" to 1.00" by later tonight. We get a break tomorrow before rain chances increase again by Saturday night. Temperatures look to remain above normal levels for the end of September, but we start to cool down by early next week and we will see highs by Wednesday in the 60's with 40's returning for morning lows by the middle of next week as we start Red October! Go Phillies!!
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We have picked up another 0.14" since midnight bringing our 3-day rain total here in East Nantmeal to 0.77" of much needed rain. Looking downstream more rain is on the way later this morning. The NWS has a forecast potential of another 0.50" to 1.00" by later tonight. We get a break tomorrow before rain chances increase again by Saturday night. Temperatures look to remain above normal levels for the end of September, but we start to cool down by early next week and we will see highs by Wednesday in the 60's with 40's returning for morning lows by the middle of next week as we start Red October! Go Phillies!! -
Some early morning fog across the area after the rain from last evening. Today should be dry but cloudy with highs well above normal approaching 80 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms increase again later tonight and especially tomorrow into tomorrow night. Shower chances lessen but can't be ruled out Friday and Saturday before finally drying out on Sunday. Current forecasts indicate another 1.25" to 2.00" of beneficial rain could fall across much of the area.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some early morning fog across the area after the rain from last evening. Today should be dry but cloudy with highs well above normal approaching 80 degrees. Showers and thunderstorms increase again later tonight and especially tomorrow into tomorrow night. Shower chances lessen but can't be ruled out Friday and Saturday before finally drying out on Sunday. Current forecasts indicate another 1.25" to 2.00" of beneficial rain could fall across much of the area. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some rain totals from around the area this evening. East Nantmeal 0.43" / Atglen 0.42" / Glenmoore 0.38" / Nottingham 0.05" / Warwick Township 0.23" / Chester Springs 0.28" / West Grove 0.18" /Avondale 0.15" / West Bradford 0.33" / West Chester 0.16" / Devault 0.45" / Kennett Square 0.12" / -
The NWS continues to forecast between 1.5" to 2.0" of rain across much of the area by Friday morning. Western areas of Chester County could see some beneficial rain starting this evening...further east chances look to be less. Rain chances really increase by late Wednesday night through Thursday. With the rain it will be relatively warm and humid for late September with little range in temperatures from PM highs to AM lows mainly in the mid to upper 70's for highs and the low to mid 60's for low temperatures. We start to dry out a bit on Friday before we clear out and turn cooler by Sunday.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
The NWS continues to forecast between 1.5" to 2.0" of rain across much of the area by Friday morning. Western areas of Chester County could see some beneficial rain starting this evening...further east chances look to be less. Rain chances really increase by late Wednesday night through Thursday. With the rain it will be relatively warm and humid for late September with little range in temperatures from PM highs to AM lows mainly in the mid to upper 70's for highs and the low to mid 60's for low temperatures. We start to dry out a bit on Friday before we clear out and turn cooler by Sunday. -
We will see humidity levels creeping up over the next couple of days. Today will be dry with temperatures well into the 70's. We will again be in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees tomorrow especially across valley locales. Rain chances start to ramp up by tomorrow night and those rain chances will stay with us for the rest of the week and through next weekend. A blend of all models sees between 1.5 to 2.0 inches of needed rain by Sunday morning. Of course, just like we don't shovel model snow - we can't count on model rain to deliver.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
We will see humidity levels creeping up over the next couple of days. Today will be dry with temperatures well into the 70's. We will again be in the upper 70's to near 80 degrees tomorrow especially across valley locales. Rain chances start to ramp up by tomorrow night and those rain chances will stay with us for the rest of the week and through next weekend. A blend of all models sees between 1.5 to 2.0 inches of needed rain by Sunday morning. Of course, just like we don't shovel model snow - we can't count on model rain to deliver. -
Similar temperatures to yesterday across the area with temperatures warming by Tuesday to well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. We then turn cooler for the rest of the week. The good news is our chances of rain are starting to increase by late Tuesday, and showers will be in the forecast for most of the rest of the week. Most models paint between 0.50" to 1.25" across the area. Let's hope this comes to pass.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Similar temperatures to yesterday across the area with temperatures warming by Tuesday to well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. We then turn cooler for the rest of the week. The good news is our chances of rain are starting to increase by late Tuesday, and showers will be in the forecast for most of the rest of the week. Most models paint between 0.50" to 1.25" across the area. Let's hope this comes to pass. -
A beautiful weekend underway across the area. Some of our cooler valley locations like Warwick Township reached the 40's for low temperatures this morning. We should run at least 5 to 8 degrees cooler than yesterday for most spots. Some ridge locations may now get much above the lower 70's while valley spots could see the mid to upper 70's. We turn a few degrees cooler tomorrow before a slow warm up to well into the 70's by Tuesday before another cooldown to close out the work week. We do have some rain chances increasing by Tuesday and looks like it will last through the rest of the week. Let’s hope we cash in on some of that liquid gold!
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
A beautiful weekend underway across the area. Some of our cooler valley locations like Warwick Township reached the 40's for low temperatures this morning. We should run at least 5 to 8 degrees cooler than yesterday for most spots. Some ridge locations may now get much above the lower 70's while valley spots could see the mid to upper 70's. We turn a few degrees cooler tomorrow before a slow warm up to well into the 70's by Tuesday before another cooldown to close out the work week. We do have some rain chances increasing by Tuesday and looks like it will last through the rest of the week. Let’s hope we cash in on some of that liquid gold!
