ChescoWx

You said it above "yes there were other 10-year periods that averaged less" that is my only point!! There is only cyclical climate change at play here!

Steve, I could dice up those years in any 10 year increments and it does not make a difference. This is of course clearly not cherry picking data....it is what it is and there is no sign at all that our climate is less snowy than the past - we only have the actual facts of the climate in our area!

Just to add a touch of factual figures to the snow discussion. As I have often shown before folks have recency bias at work with their views on snow. There is clearly no evidence of anything then our typical normal cyclical trends of snow totals. If anything maybe our climate is trending snowier??? The 1st 20 years of our current century since Y2k were in fact the 2nd snowiest 20 year period in our entire history! Even though the first half of our current decade including this year which the last flake has possibly not even fallen yet...shows that this current decade of the 2020's is still snowier so far on average than the 1930's, 1940's. 1950's and 1970's - Facts over our feelings always work best!

West Grove in Chesco just had a gust to 61.9 MPH. Glenmoore's hig gust has been 42.3 mph and 40.6 MPH at Chester Springs

Plenty of heavy rain has moved through the area over the last couple hours putting even more of a dent in any potential drought conditions. Rainfall since yesterday now is over 1 inch at most spots. The highest amount so far is the 1.43 at Glenmoore. Here in EN we are now running 0.74" above normal in precip for the month. YTD we are only 1.75" below normal. Winds are gusting as high at 36 MPH during the last few minutes at KMQS Coatesville Airport.

You know you wanted to look.....do it!!

It has been a solid winter with sustained cold and below normal temps since Turkey Day....within several inches of normal snow for the season. While no blockbuster snow - I did use by snow blower 2 times!

Temperatures in the higher spots failed to get above freezing till around 7am this morning. Our 13th winter event of the season resulted in as much as 2" of snow in spots and as much as 0.15" of freezing rain ice accretion. Melted snow and rain amounts so far have ranged from 0.77" at Kennett Square to 0.58" at Atglen. We could see another 0.25" to 0.50" with both a warm front this morning and then a sharp cold front this afternoon. We should see a sharp rise in temperatures this morning into early PM - possibly reaching the 50's before the front crosses the western burbs during around the 230p to 330p hour. We continue to lessen any drought concerns across the area and another 0.25" to 0.50" of rain should fall today. The big story and danger today into tomorrow will be the strong winds that may very well cause widespread power outages. Unfortunately, following the front we will not see above freezing temperatures for the entire work week. Stay safe!

Temperatures in the higher spots failed to get above freezing till around 7am this morning. Our 13th winter event of the season resulted in as much as 2" of snow in spots and as much as 0.15" of freezing rain ice accretion. Melted snow and rain amounts so far have ranged from 0.77" at Kennett Square to 0.58" at Atglen. We could see another 0.25" to 0.50" with both a warm front this morning and then a sharp cold front this afternoon. We should see a sharp rise in temperatures this morning into early PM - possibly reaching the 50's before the front crosses the western burbs during around the 230p to 330p hour. We continue to lessen any drought concerns across the area and another 0.25" to 0.50" of rain should fall today. The big story and danger today into tomorrow will be the strong winds that may very well cause widespread power outages. Unfortunately, following the front we will not see above freezing temperatures for the entire work week. Stay safe!

Well as the models turn regarding the Wed/Thursday possible snowstorm. With the overnight runs we have on the Team Snow side The European with a significant snowstorm. The GFS and ICON with a few inches of powder....and the German ICON with flurries and a dusting. The one pretty clear place that will see a significant snow is at the Jersey Shore. This has been the season of depressed or suppressed east coast events.

Still ZR here in East Nantmeal temp at 32.0

Here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco - Sleet mainly now mixed with some flakes....snow/sleet so far 1.5". Monthly snow total now at 5.9" . Seasonal totals for 2024-25 is up to 20.4" of snow this is now 83% of normal snow through today which is 4.1" from normal snow through today of 24.5 inches

Here in East Nantmeal in NW Chesco - Sleet mainly now mixed with some flakes....snow/sleet so far 1.5". Monthly snow total now at 5.9" . Seasonal totals for 2024-25 is up to 20.4" of snow this is now 83% of normal snow through today which is 4.1" from normal snow through today of 24.5 inches

Still moderate snow as the rain line advances north bound All surfaces covered looks like at least 0.5" so far

Our 12th winter event of the 2024-25 season is underway. Snow 31.3

A big shout out to my Facebook Page friends and followers as today we have passed 10,000 members!!! I am so appreciative of all of you...even those who struggle with the difference between a model and a forecast. Thank you! At 945am the NWS upgraded Western Chesco to a Winter Weather Advisory through 8pm tonight. For this winter event #12 of our active season we see snow arriving from the west during the noon hour. Snow will change to rain (little if any sleet) by 4pm - at most we should see around 1" of snow. Beneficial rains will fall through tonight until tomorrow PM. Most spots should see upwards of 1" of liquid equivalent before the rain ends. We turn sharply and unseasonably colder yet again on Sunday night with our temperatures remaining below freezing both day and night for the rest of the work week. The rumored potential snow event midweek remains a possibility. Some models have a large snowstorm....others no more than flurries...stay tuned and thanks again!!

A big shout out to my Facebook Page friends and followers as today we have passed 10,000 members!!! I am so appreciative of all of you...even those who struggle with the difference between a model and a forecast. Thank you! At 945am the NWS upgraded Western Chesco to a Winter Weather Advisory through 8pm tonight. For this winter event #12 of our active season we see snow arriving from the west during the noon hour. Snow will change to rain (little if any sleet) by 4pm - at most we should see around 1" of snow. Beneficial rains will fall through tonight until tomorrow PM. Most spots should see upwards of 1" of liquid equivalent before the rain ends. We turn sharply and unseasonably colder yet again on Sunday night with our temperatures remaining below freezing both day and night for the rest of the work week. The rumored potential snow event midweek remains a possibility. Some models have a large snowstorm....others no more than flurries...stay tuned and thanks again!!

The European Model suggests a major snowstorm in excess of 20 inches of snow later this week. The GFS says nope - it will stay to our south and move out to sea. Keep in mind The Blizzard of 1996 (NOT SAYING THIS WILL BE ANYTHING LIKE THAT) also featured the European saying big snows while the AVN/GFS said out to sea.

Chilly and breezy but dry today. Tomorrow it appears that our 12th winter event of what has been a busy winter season will arrive. Snow should begin by late morning tomorrow and change to rain by late afternoon. We could see up to as much as 2" of snow before it all gets washed away with some much-needed rain. Warmer with periods of rain Sunday before a turn to much colder by Sunday night. Dry and unseasonably cold weather this week with most of the week remaining below freezing both day and night. The potential is there for our largest snowstorm of the season....but we do not shovel potential! If the storm occurs it appears late Wednesday into Thursday will be the time frame.

Chilly and breezy but dry today. Tomorrow it appears that our 12th winter event of what has been a busy winter season will arrive. Snow should begin by late morning tomorrow and change to rain by late afternoon. We could see up to as much as 2" of snow before it all gets washed away with some much-needed rain. Warmer with periods of rain Sunday before a turn to much colder by Sunday night. Dry and unseasonably cold weather this week with most of the week remaining below freezing both day and night. The potential is there for our largest snowstorm of the season....but we do not shovel potential! If the storm occurs it appears late Wednesday into Thursday will be the time frame.

12z GFS in a nice spot a week out....

Agreed 100% I know most folks that post here understand that irrespective of what a model shows....we never ever need to shovel model snow. It is one part of the tool set used by professional meteorologists to make a forecast. Nothing wrong with posting maps as long as folks understand what they are and what they are not.

We picked up 0.23" of freezing rain and rain since last evening. So far this year we are running over 2.5" below normal rainfall. Over the last 14 months we have been running at a slight deficit of 4.90" of precipitation. During this time frame we are running at 91% of normal melted snow/rain. We should put a nice dent in our deficit over this weekend with most models showing upwards of 1" of rain. Tomorrow will be the best weather day of the weekend before snow arrives on Saturday afternoon. Snow will change to rain during the PM. Sunday looks wet through midday. We then turn sharply colder by Sunday night with yet another run of below normal temperatures for most of next week. We have had solidly below normal temperatures across the area since way back on Thanksgiving Day. Expect to hear rumors of a snowstorm by mid to late next week.