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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
It is funny as I run my own consulting firm and I have a few clients that are actually members of my FB page and they often wonder how the heck I balance my hobby with my professional stuff!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
of course! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
If I did that people would say I do it for clicks! No interest in that and don't need the $ from a hobby! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Our snow cover is finally melting with just a few inches left here in NW Chester County. Today will be our 34th straight day with at least an inch of snow on the ground. This now ties this streak for the 10th longest on record and 13th overall with records back to 1894. Our rain chances to ramp up this evening and especially tomorrow. We could certainly use the rain as many spots are around half of normal precipitation so far this year and have run at a significant deficit for much of the last 7 months. Temperatures may struggle to escape the 30’s today for the higher elevation spots. We turn milder and drier on Saturday with highs a few degrees above normal. We turn colder Sunday with a chance of snow arriving and if we get some it may continue into Monday morning. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Our snow cover is finally melting with just a few inches left here in NW Chester County. Today will be our 34th straight day with at least an inch of snow on the ground. This now ties this streak for the 10th longest on record and 13th overall with records back to 1894. Our rain chances to ramp up this evening and especially tomorrow. We could certainly use the rain as many spots are around half of normal precipitation so far this year and have run at a significant deficit for much of the last 7 months. Temperatures may struggle to escape the 30’s today for the higher elevation spots. We turn milder and drier on Saturday with highs a few degrees above normal. We turn colder Sunday with a chance of snow arriving and if we get some it may continue into Monday morning. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I don't support any page that monetizes FB for clicks!! Just turn the page and go to a site that does not post for clicks!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL!! All the spots I post to including FB, Twitter, multiple forums like this one and several on Discord....lots o copy and pasting every morning!! Some of my clients wonder how I keep up with my full time job! -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Fog should slowly diminish later this morning. We should see some light rain across especially for spots north of the PA Turnpike this afternoon. Rain amounts look light with most spots less than 0.15". Today’s temperatures will be in the low 40's just about average for the date. Rain chances to ramp up again tomorrow night and especially Friday with more significant rain expected. Snow chances look to increase by Sunday but way too early to nail down specifics. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Both the Euro and GFS and Euro AI ensembles all had snow totals tick up a bit from 6z vs 0z. With some adds on the southern flank. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
What always gets me is folks staring at an 18z vs a 12z model with 5 days to go and they get fired up that the 18z GFS has 31 inches of snow at ACY and only 3" at ABE....this is all model noise and meaningless! There will be a storm and there are many runs to go that will have it suppressed and those that have it going inland. Relax folks! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Surprised to hear you being less enthused over a model run.... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Agreed 16.6" over 4 days! a truly unique storm!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
At least DT is always calm and measured in his thoughts...great spelling to boot!! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
From this vantage point IMHO this is where you want the GEFS to be.... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
LOL! there can be no rug pull 5 days before an event. It will be lost and gained a couple times this week on the GFS - Canadian and the European.....relax MIckey! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
12z AI GFS -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
1005mb to 987mb between 4am and 4pm Sunday..... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
I would like to see that northern stream piece dive in just a wee little bit earlier..... -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
ChescoWx replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Fog should burn off later this morning, and we turn much milder with highs well into the 40's our normal high is still in the low 40's. After today there is at least a chance of rain each day with maybe some snow mixing in on Thursday night. Our heaviest rain looks to be on Friday, and we can really use the rain. There will no doubt be rumors of a snowstorm starting next Sunday....but the good news is we don't shovel snow rumors! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Fog should burn off later this morning, and we turn much milder with highs well into the 40's our normal high is still in the low 40's. After today there is at least a chance of rain each day with maybe some snow mixing in on Thursday night. Our heaviest rain looks to be on Friday, and we can really use the rain. There will no doubt be rumors of a snowstorm starting next Sunday....but the good news is we don't shovel snow rumors! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
31st consecutive day with snow cover here in Chesco - tied for the 12th longest stretch since 1894 and 17th overall. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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