ChescoWx
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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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Forecast across Chester County is only 76 or 77 degrees the records are 7 degrees away....
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Great quote from Tony Heller!! "There are only two types of people who believe the climate is getting worse. 1. People who are ignorant of history. 2. People who lie about history."
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A cold front (of course dry) has passed through the area this morning. Winds will pick up and temperatures will again be a little below normal with some higher spots struggling to reach 60 degrees. Chillier tomorrow before we start a steady warming trend that will last through Halloween. While we will be nowhere close to a record warm trick or treating we could see temperatures in lower spots well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. There is a freeze watch out tomorrow night for the higher spots who have not yet dropped to freezing so far this fall season.
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A cold front (of course dry) has passed through the area this morning. Winds will pick up and temperatures will again be a little below normal with some higher spots struggling to reach 60 degrees. Chillier tomorrow before we start a steady warming trend that will last through Halloween. While we will be nowhere close to a record warm trick or treating we could see temperatures in lower spots well into the 70's to near 80 degrees. There is a freeze watch out tomorrow night for the higher spots who have not yet dropped to freezing so far this fall season.
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Many of the lower spots in Chester County were well down into the 30's including a below freezing low at Warwick Park for the 7th time this month. Higher spots in the county have still not experienced even 1 freezing low this autumn. Temperatures are near to slightly below normal through the weekend before we start a nice warming trend that should peak on Halloween with temperatures that day well into the mid-70's! Of course, absolutely no rain in the forecast for at least the next week.
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Many of the lower spots in Chester County were well down into the 30's including a below freezing low at Warwick Park for the 7th time this month. Higher spots in the county have still not experienced even 1 freezing low this autumn. Temperatures are near to slightly below normal through the weekend before we start a nice warming trend that should peak on Halloween with temperatures that day well into the mid-70's! Of course, absolutely no rain in the forecast for at least the next week.
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Today will be our 25th straight day without rain across many spots in the county. I have found 6 stations with measurable (0.01") rain since October 1st. The most being the 0.09" of rain at West Bradford. The other 13 current stations have recorded no rain this month. The longest stretches without rain in Chester County was the 34 straight days at both Phoenixville and West Chester from October 9th thru November 11, 1924 and 31 days at Coatesville and Chadds Ford back in October 1963. A cold front passed through this morning, and we should see temperatures near to below normal through the weekend before warming to above normal by Halloween. Longer range models hint at cooler and wetter weather near Election Day!
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Today will be our 25th straight day without rain across many spots in the county. I have found 6 stations with measurable (0.01") rain since October 1st. The most being the 0.09" of rain at West Bradford. The other 13 current stations have recorded no rain this month. The longest stretches without rain in Chester County was the 34 straight days at both Phoenixville and West Chester from October 9th thru November 11, 1924 and 31 days at Coatesville and Chadds Ford back in October 1963. A cold front passed through this morning, and we should see temperatures near to below normal through the weekend before warming to above normal by Halloween. Longer range models hint at cooler and wetter weather near Election Day!
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While rare this is not unprecedented in the area. Here in the burbs of Chester County we have gone 25 days as of today without rain. Still 9 days away from our all-time record of 34 days back in October - November 1924 and 31 days back in October 1963.
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A couple of cold fronts will cross the area with the first one tonight and another on Saturday, but neither front will bring any much-needed rain to the area. Today will be our 5th straight above normal temperature day before we return to near normal temperatures tomorrow and Friday. We will fall to below normal temperatures by later in the weekend. We have a chance at a freezing morning by Monday morning for even some of the higher spots who have yet to see a sub 32 low this autumn.
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A couple of cold fronts will cross the area with the first one tonight and another on Saturday, but neither front will bring any much-needed rain to the area. Today will be our 5th straight above normal temperature day before we return to near normal temperatures tomorrow and Friday. We will fall to below normal temperatures by later in the weekend. We have a chance at a freezing morning by Monday morning for even some of the higher spots who have yet to see a sub 32 low this autumn.
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Of course real data is of course better than altered fake data.
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So to recap -NOAA shows what the raw data shows - but there is no actual station data in Chester County PA as cold as the NOAA adjusted values - check!
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Another large spread in temperatures this early AM across the area. Upper 50's in East Nantmeal while lower 40's a few miles north at Warwick but 300 feet lower. Many spots except the highest ridges will touch the 80's today before we start cooling down tomorrow through the weekend. Of course, there is no chance of any rain in our future!
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Another large spread in temperatures this early AM across the area. Upper 50's in East Nantmeal while lower 40's a few miles north at Warwick but 300 feet lower. Many spots except the highest ridges will touch the 80's today before we start cooling down tomorrow through the weekend. Of course, there is no chance of any rain in our future!
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It really was interesting this morning with the highest reporting spot in Berks County to my north at 1115 ft had a low of 58 degrees - 7 degrees warmer than East Nantmeal
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Yet still no answer - why chill almost every year below any station in the entire county? Is sounds like the rationale is - let's find some station up in Berks or Lehigh County and let's chill down all 3 of those pesky warm Chester County stations to that more appropriate chilly level - why don't we pick that station up in Allentown??? And 50 years after the observation let's adjust all of those stations!!! Heck! West Chester, Coatesville and Phoenixville should of course be as chilly at Allentown!!
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Quite the inversion in temps across the county this morning with about an 18 degree swing from locations below 420 ft ASL like Warwick and West Bradford currently in the mid 30's while higher spots like here in East Nantmeal are in the low 50's. Once the sun gets up everyone warms up well into the 70's with some lower spots possibly touching 80 degrees! The warmth peaks tomorrow before we start to cool down closer to normal to close out this week and into the weekend. Dry weather continues all week!
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Quite the inversion in temps across the county this morning with about an 18 degree swing from locations below 420 ft ASL like Warwick and West Bradford currently in the mid 30's while higher spots like here in East Nantmeal are in the low 50's. Once the sun gets up everyone warms up well into the 70's with some lower spots possibly touching 80 degrees! The warmth peaks tomorrow before we start to cool down closer to normal to close out this week and into the weekend. Dry weather continues all week!
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So to quote my favorite climate alarmist Charlie he says "When the stations moved, they cooled by roughly 2F relative to nearby stations. We know the locations of the stations before and after the moves". Well if that is true then why did NOAA cooling adjust those to levels equal to or colder than any of the County stations in 29 of those 35 years between 1941 and 1975?? Charlie goes on to say that "Fortunately the moves occurred at different times which allowed their "chilling" effect to be identified. " So again if a chilling effect was identified why the heck was the adjustment to the Chester County wide data NOT to warm the data?? But instead to correct this chilling bias NOAA chose to chill them even further in the vast majority (83%) of those very years!!! Why?? The red line below shows this fabricated altered NOAA data which certainly was used to depress temps to better promote the warming story in Chester County PA since 1970.
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Our beautiful autumnal weather continues with unfortunately no rain in sight! We warm to well into the 70's by Tuesday with many lower elevation spots touching the 80's for maybe the final time this year. We trend cooler with temperatures getting back to or slightly below normal levels again by Friday.
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Our beautiful autumnal weather continues with unfortunately no rain in sight! We warm to well into the 70's by Tuesday with many lower elevation spots touching the 80's for maybe the final time this year. We trend cooler with temperatures getting back to or slightly below normal levels again by Friday.
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Charlie as we clearly see below all 3 of the available NWS COOP stations during the period 1941 thru 1975 had a statistically significantly identical trend line of chilling as is clearly demonstrated in the below actual raw data chart. I assume you have "nearby stations" from outside of the county that you wish to introduce to support any post hoc adjustments? If so which station and how far from Chester County is that station that we should look at???
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Many lower spots were again near freezing including Warwick with their 4th straight freezing morning - while the higher spots in the county were over 12 degrees warmer in the mid-40's for low temps. A nice warming trend gets under way today peaking on Tuesday before we start dropping back to normal and end then below normal by the end of the work week.
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Many lower spots were again near freezing including Warwick with their 4th straight freezing morning - while the higher spots in the county were over 12 degrees warmer in the mid-40's for low temps. A nice warming trend gets under way today peaking on Tuesday before we start dropping back to normal and end then below normal by the end of the work week.
