ChescoWx

1.63" of rain yesterday while significant nowhere near our daily record of 2.26" set back in 1932 Monthly rainfall now stands at 4.87" (+1.13" above normal) YTD precipitation stands at 12.03" (+1.47" above normal) Snowfall 5.8" - 29.9" below normal through today.....

Light spring snow here in NW Chester County PA temp at 35.7

WXSIM sees plenty of rain on the way over the next week in NW Chesco and even some snow above 650 ft...but no more than a slushy coating before more chilly rain during the day on Monday

Iceman - much different story out here in the nearby NW Philly burbs where we have had 1.18" of rain in the last 5 days. With our MTD rainfall now at 2.63" which is .06" above normal and YTD rainfall now stands at 9.79" which is 0.40" above normal - no dryness here at all..

Record hi elevation record high temp today in Western Chester County PA with our high of 76.6 beating the old record of 72.6 back in 2012....but well behind the valley record of 83 set back in 1945. Much chillier over the weekend and maybe 2 chances of accumulating snow above 600 ft over the next 10 days with 1st shot by Monday AM

East Nantmeal PA obs 0.94" since midnight / 0.09 yesterday MTD precip stands at 2.58" +0.14" above normal YTD precip is 9.74" which is 0.48" above normal

Thanks for all of the email requests!!!! Please confirm your receipt of the presentation via email....It is clearly a slow weather time!! LOL!! If anyone else is interested in viewing the entire presentation on this forum... just send me your email address via the email on my website or send me a PM here with your email and I will send you the "full deck" of 24 slides - apologies again to those that noticed my website is not quite as current as the data and analysis I have in the presentation deck! My full time job clearly gets in the way of this "hobby"!!! Thanks again for your interest!! Paul

I gave a weather talk today at a lunch time session at a golf club in NW Chester County today for a social club in the County. This forced me to get around to updating some of my analysis and stats for the County. Including some comparisons to PHL Airport - I thought I would share some of them below

The blower almost failed me this AM....but I did clean up the T of snow that fell last evening. We also recorded 0.49" of w.e. during the "storm"

Mainly wet snow here at 685 ft while down at the Turnpike at 520 ft just a few flakes mixed in . Deck is a bit slick but no accumulation yet with temp just above 34 degrees. So far 0.32" of w.e. today

mainly light snow with some drips mixed in here in NW Chester County temp down to 36.9

Snow has begun to mix in the the rain here in NW Chesco with a temp of 37.7

WXSIM with 6z NAM/GFS has rain arriving by noon with temps peaking at 42 before falling with the onset of the rain. Snow will begin to mix in by 4pm with mixed snow/rain with more snow than rain during heavier precip rates - temps will remain just above freezing for the duration.. Becoming all snow by 10pm and ending by 1am - total snow 0.3" to 1.0" - have to get my blower gassed up!!

Could we have an elevation driven event with spots over 600 ft across Chester and Berks counties seeing their 1st accumulating snow since the 2" that fell way back on January 18th? It's been a while without a WXSIM snow forecast will it be just as "accurate" as it has all winter long? WXSIM has light rain (temp 40.7) arriving on Friday by 10am quickly mixing with snow and getting heavy by 1pm temp down to 36.4. Moderate snow by 7pm temp at 33.4 - moderate snow through 1am temp 32.3 - tapering to flurries by 2am. Total snow accumulation 1" to 3"

Beautiful day even down the shore in Sea Isle City NJ same temp as here in Western Chester County PA - no sea breeze....yet!

Here in Chester County PA this winter (DJF) ranks as the 7th warmest since record keeping began in 1894. However, this winter was actually the 3rd coldest winter in the last 5 seasons! LOL! While this season was warm at an average temperature of 37.1 with normal at 31.3 (+5.8) it was still well below the warmest winter experienced way back in 1931-32 with an average temp of 39.5. Below are the top 7 warmest winters. 1. 1931-32 (39.5) 2. 1997-98 (38.1) 3. 2015-16 (37.8) 4. 2001-02 (37.5) 5. 1982-83 (37.4) 6. 2016-17 (37.3) 7. 2019-20 (37.1)

So Chester County PA will be having it's 8th snowless (trace) February. Also the 4th warmest February on record. So what does that portend for March snowfall?? Below are the 7 prior snow deprived February months and how the next month did from a snow view: 1925 - 1.9" / 1950 - 0" / 1959 - 5.9" / 1973 - 0" / 1980 - 6.8" / 1981 - 10.5" / 1998 - 0.5" So.... I will go out on a limb here with my crystal ball for the relative higher elevation areas of Western Chester County and Berks County and predict an elevation driven wet snow event over the last 12 days of the month that will be our largest event of the winter season to date...of course not too tough to beat that 2" event on Jan 18th....keep those snow plows handy my friends!!

While a February without a measurable snow event (more than a trace) is unusual it appears we have an excellent chance of finishing February 2020 with no snow in the Philly burbs of Chester County PA. This would mark our 7th time we have gone without a snow event outside of a trace in February since records began here in the County way back in 1894 our only day with a trace this month was on the 2nd. The other February months without measurable snow were 1950/1959/1973/1980/1981/1998/2020.

0.23" of rain since yesterday with today being our 4th straight day with measurable rain total over those days is 1.10" month to date at 2.22" and YTD 6.13" vs normal through today of 5.17". Normal snow for the season to date through today is 24.0" - snow so far this season just 5.8" just 24% of normal. If we are finished with snow this season this will be the 3rd least snow ever recorded in Chester County since 1894. Behind only 1972-3 - with no snow and 1949-50 with just 2.4" for snow less bragging rights!

Some wet snow and sleet mixed with rain here in East Nantmeal temp at 41.9 DP 28 - in this non-winter every flake is sacred! Before the heavy rain!

Some snow mixing with rain here in NW Chester County PA temp down to 38.4

Temp up 5 degrees over last hour now 54.6 - high gust so far 15mph - transition to snow line 100 miles NW of here

I have gone to Spring Training for the last 13 years - my brother and brother in law rent a house = outstanding time!! just a sea of phillies red - feels like you are in philly!!