ChescoWx
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Everything posted by ChescoWx
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Hi Steve! I guess a Christmas miracle is possible...not a big believer in anafront accumlations....but heck - the Christmas magic!! Happy Holidays to you and yours!!
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WXSIM has snow arriving about 10am on Sunday morning - some moderate snow by 1pm with a brief period of Heavy Snow by 4pm ending by 530pm with 1" to 2" of snow accumulating....of interest it also predicts that while about 4" of snow will be on the ground on the morning of the 24th....it will all be wiped away before Christmas morning with a 45 degree high and rain.
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Western Chester County PA data analysis - 1894 to Present
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Philadelphia Region
With the snowstorm total of 9.3" in East Nantmeal Township in Chester County this storm was the 10th largest snowstorm in December history back to 1894 for the county. The 7.3" of snow yesterday set a new daily record eclipsing the 6.0" that fell in 1973. -
Final storm total in East Nantmeal Township in Chester County 9.3" of snow/sleet with 2.0" falling since midnight
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Back to all snow here in East Nantmeal Twp in NW Chester County temp at 25.5
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As of midnight the 7.3" of snow/sleet breaks the old daily Chester County PA record of 6.0" set back in 1973...with another 2" of snow from this storm this event could move into the top 10 December Snowstorms in Chester County History dating back to 1894.
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Heavy Sleet and some snow mixing in here in NW Chesco with the temp down to 25.3 with over 7" of snow and sleet so far....while down the shore in Sea Isle City not a flake of snow so far today with a current temp of 49.0 with our street in SIC flooded but 1.58" of rain so far with a high wind gust of 46mph
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No model was great with this system including the NAM while it had the warm air at 850mb it totally missed the front end thump....hence why no one model is a forecast
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Winds are howling up in the trees temp starting to fall again now down to 25.6 with storm total at 10:30 up to 7" of snow/sleet with 5.8" snow and 1.2" IP so far....more still to come....but can we get to double digits??
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IP has really picked up over last 30 minutes temp now starting back up now at 25.8....just measured another 0.3" of IP bringing our snowfall for the day up to 6.0" - also noting a few mangled snow flakes starting to mix back in over the last few minutes...should see a transition back to snow later tonight from NW to SE....someone will pick up several more inches in wrap around later tonight....not sure where but - nice storm for December!!
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Certainly possible...remember that 3 to 7" includes sleet which again counts as snow....it just accumulates more slowly...most spots will go back over to snow overnight....so total additional snow/sleet if you get under the wrap around band could get there....
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Jim be sure to keep measuring as long as sleet is falling - that is still snow for recording purposes....when it goes to ZR then no more snow
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At 4pm - 45 min ago we had 2.5" here in East Nantmeal Twp. in Chester County - temp looks to have fallen as far as it will down to 25.6 with very heavy snow - sleet should be here within the next couple hours
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As of 3pm 1.0" exactly in East Nantmeal - temp down to 25.4 with heavier snow moving north toward NW Chesco should be picking up before the change to sleet - thinking by 530pm or so here in NW Chesco and by 415pm at KPHL
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Yes!....might be the lower end though.....brutal forecast every hour change over is late.....
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12z Euro still not taking sleet into account - goes for both the regular and the K map
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Oh it's coming!! sleetfest....but again sleet gets a bad wrap!! it's white like snow and when accumulated even looks like snow....it counts as snow .....it's great for snow board sledding and takes longer to melt - how is that for positive Paul!!
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Light snow began at 12:25pm in East Nantmeal 28.2 when flakes started now at VP2 at 28.1 / 19.6 - tempest at 26.9 / 17
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My final forecast tweaked downward a bit to account for more sleet.
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correct!
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Hi Carmen! If only it was snow - cut that by more than half - I think majority of our snow accumulation will be sleet...plowing will be tough that is for sure! Good luck!
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Cloudy 25.4 / DP 14.6 on VP and 24.3 /11 on Tempest - due point has been falling steadily and is at the low for the day - expecting a thump of snow to tons of sleet and then back to snow....building a glacier in NW Chesco
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Last 2 runs of the GFS just want to put that 20" snow blob right over NW Chesco....if only it could tell the difference between snow and sleet....I do think NW Chesco is in an ideal spot to be Sleet Champ tomorrow....wish us luck!
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WXSIM for NW Chester County now has 4 hours of snow from 130p to 530p with 2.6" snow / than 7 hours of heavy sleet from 530pm thru 1230am with 3.2" accumulation and then snow thru 7am with another 4.6" of snow - for a grand snow total of 10.4" - how's that for a nice straight forward concrete recipe!!
