Juliancolton

Hah, I just crossed the 2" mark so I'm not running any victory laps yet. Just impressive rates for the time being... how long it lasts remains to be seen. I see a spotter reported 8" over by West Kill already, nice storm in the Catskills.

I'm not far from legitimate puking snow territory at the moment. Really coming down nicely.

Absolute rippage

@IrishRob17

There's been a nice trend on the HRRR of prolonging the duration of the snow. The back edge doesn't clear the river until after midnight now. It probably goes without saying, but we definitely want to see the LP wave develop more quickly as it rides the front. On some of the runs that show a more pronounced circulation over LI or CT, you can see the inflection point taking shape close to NYC such that precip north of there has a pivoting component to its movement. Not quite a conveyor belt structure, but the first signs of an emerging cloud head. On the whole, this has the potential to be a nice little event.

This is the start of our comeback tour. I can feel it.

Most of the mesos have the freezing line surging north of me around 0z tonight. I would agree with hedging toward mostly or all snow, albeit a wet snow (which is nice in its own right).

Yeah, exactly... it has to be included in one season or another. I don't have a problem with folks doing as they please with their personal snowfall records. For me though, mid-November is pretty clearly within the sensible realm of winter. Christmas music would have been on the radio for weeks already.

Ditto on creeks. Coverage on ponds and lakes didn't take much of a hit, although there are all sorts of pools of water and slush on top of the original ice. The pre-snow layer is still more than thick enough for ice fishing, you just end up breaking through the new surface and getting your feet wet the whole way out. I'm sure there's a more technical name for it or a better way to describe it...

We ice jam, apparently https://www.facebook.com/NewPaltzFireDepartment/posts/1193136700850373

At least IMBY, once you punched through the top 1/2" of crust, the snow underneath was rather powdery still. It would have been nice to keep it around as a base for the next one though

I forgot to return my Stratus after bringing it inside to melt after the snowstorm, and a pine needle jammed the tipper on the Ambient so we'll never know

How would ya like -20F at 1 pm?

I love microclimate stuff like this. KPOU has already touched 59F between hours. The daily record of 63 appears to be safe, as the front is not far off now. As far as cutter torches go, this one is really short-lived... though it was more than enough to erase the pack in my 'hood.

Interesting. I had the wind shift and temp spike before 3 am.

I agree, though I will say there are definitely times when you are genuinely having a rough go of it and facing real problems in real life, and it ends up being some silly, inconsequential thing that pushes you over the edge. I'm sure most people are merely being overly dramatic, you just never know. Besides, I fail to see the issue. Everyone I regularly converse with here has full snowcover.

I'm already above freezing. What a roller coaster the last four days have been.

I was kind of wondering about ice jams. Seems like even a short-lived period of 50s would be enough to loosen things up, maybe?

I didn't start making hay with regard to radiating until after 5 am when the winds finally died down. After hovering around 0 all night, the temp dropped to -4.5 just before 8 am when the sun crested over the ridge. It's worth noting that fresh, fluffy snow would be a much better radiator than the glacier we have. I would have no way to even speculate on the quantitative difference it makes, but presumably it's not trivial. Then you have the nearly full Moon, which has been shown to warm the BL by a couple hundredths of a degree...

I had sleet, snow, grauple, and (freezing) rain all mixed together at one point while clearing the driveway. It was rather despicable.

I've just hit 32.0. The cold tuck down the river valley still amazes me with temps remaining in the low 20s just a few miles to my west. Never seen anything quite like it. 3.4" was the most I measured over the course of the night.

Check out that temp gradient aligned to the Taconic. 10-degree difference or better in 5 miles.

Yeah, these rates aren't gonna get it done sadly. If CC is any indication, the mix line is at HPN and blasting north; HRRR says we ping by 2-3 am.

"Road salt"? Is that what they're calling it these days?

Albany point forecast has a high of 37F for me tomorrow morning. While I've been leaning warm with this the whole time, I never would have guessed upper 30s.