Juliancolton
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Everything posted by Juliancolton
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We have one more reinforcing cold shot. Tuesday morning freezes for many, Wednesday morning for most, and then I'm declaring growing season officially open.
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May 8-9 mid-spring rain, snow, cold, wind obs
Juliancolton replied to CT Valley Snowman's topic in New England
One of the few things that everyone on the boards agrees on. Love to see it. -
184 days between my first (Nov 7) and presumed last (May 9) measurable snowfall of the season here. Would have been nice to notch October in there, but I can live with a seven-month winter.
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I wouldn't total another truck to experience hail like that again, but I'll admit it was a thrill.
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Just had a mighty gust from the NW and then precip flipped to snow like a switch. Incredible.
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Yeah, this is the case for me as well I believe. Though if I'd seen a stray flake at some point in like 2002 I'm not so sure I'd remember. Remarkably, one week from today is the 2nd anniversary of the worst severe wx day in the modern history of the HV. I love living in the mid-latitudes! Still 39F here with a light SE flow, though the fropa is just minutes away per radar.
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The hi-res models still look good for a coupletwothree hours of post-frontal snow starting between 10 and 11. I'll stay up for it.
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I was smoking an outstanding cigar tonight (Midnight Express maduro by Caldwell) and had a moment of overdue clarity in my relaxed state of mind: it's probably not gonna snow that much on May 9th. We back-end coating if we lucky.
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I'm locking that in, no offense
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It's funny, the other day I was thinking about sequence of moods from "want snow for snow's sake" to "don't want snow" and then "want snow again for the novelty" as spring progresses. If you asked me one month ago I'd have said to heck with it. Now, bring it on.
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Lord. Wreckage on the GFS.
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How we also pray. Let's get this inside of 48, please.
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Ohhh how we pray.
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AWT
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Aye, we record lows and probably we at least flake. There are a few different waves that could all deepen just a hair more and introduce the possibility of messy accums.
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We really needed this rain, I was starting to get worried about water levels
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0.79" here so far. Looks like another rainy afternoon on top. The models have been frigid in the long-range for multiple cycles now. The GFS op has three or four shots of sub-528 dm thicknesses starting around D8, and the EPS/GEFS certainly support that kind of pattern. Frost danger through mid-month at least.
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Sunday looks salvageable. Not a gem but mild with periods of sun. GFS has a little more moisture around in the afternoon than the Euro.
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The delayed exit seems to have been real, but the ULL trended south today such that we end up under a more diffluent regime for most of Saturday. Clear until evening with potential for spot 70F if that holds. The models have been pretty chaotic with this period. It's been interesting to watch... if there were even whispers of frozen precip, everyone would be losing their minds over these swings.
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As feared, the upper low is hanging back more and more with each run.
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It's extra awful this year, both in perception and all objective measures. Usually by May we've had at least one meaningful stretch of decent weather. It seems that the best we can do this spring is the occasional near-normal day when it feels kinda-sorta nice if the wind dies down. We may try to sneak in some transient ridging next weekend, though I don't trust that Friday storm not to overstay its welcome.
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So we're officially past the average first 80F day at POU. Last year came within a few days of all-time latest. Can we do it again? GEFS and EPS certainly show no risk of breaking that particular ceiling any time soon.
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I don't have the numbers to back it up, but I'm pretty sure I've seen snow on more days in April than I did in any of the preceding three months.
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Fake cold in full effect right now. Already down to 27 in the backyard but but still 35 on top of the hill down the road.
