Juliancolton

I admire your commitment to journal keeping! That's awesome.

Was that March 7th? Trying to remember how that went down here. I think the one before that was the super wet snow with power outages, right?

Can't wait for my 2-4"

What's a Rockland?

Downsloping off the Taconics could be a real thorn in my side. Legendary for OC though... 18+ there seems more likely than not.

Looks awesome... starting to get the look of a very memorable event around here. Hopefully the strongest dynamics keep tickling north.

I'm always left in awe reading recollections from the old-timers of storms half a century or more in the past. I desperately wish my mind worked that way... after a couple seasons, almost all events just blend together in my head.

While I'm generally happy with how the forecast is unfolding for the interior, the currently favored closer to coast track would temper the duration aspect of the storm for our area. A 700mb low track effectively over NYC would mean transient rather than quasi-stationary banding, with the dominant deformation zone not really pivoting until it's way upstate. On the 00z hi-res NAM, I-84 doesn't begin snowing in earnest until around 6 am Monday; dry air starts working its way down to beneath the DGZ by 10 pm. That's obviously a nice comfy window for accumulations, but nothing extraordinary... and I think we all know how "long duration" storms usually work out. Ratios look fine during the meat of the storm – a little better than climo, limited by a rather shallow growth zone and a rather deep riming layer, but generally a good cross-hairs signature. A first call would look something like TEB ∞, HPN 18", SWF 15", POU 12".

They've been out fishing on White Pond for a while now.

Nah, we'll do alright I think. Just like with $GME, hold the line and don't sell no matter what.

Nice arctic snow shower going on here. Low of 4.8, currently sitting at 6F. I can't remember the last time it snowed at temps this cold

For the 00z/01 run, yeah

Seems like a better clustering by a good deal than you'd expect from that broad, lumbering trough. #underdispersion

What time will the ensemble hit my house?

Same here for storm total. The last .7" or so overnight was much wetter than the daytime accumulation, so it does have a degree of that winter wonderland look.

1.7" here in Dutchess. A little freezing mist happening now

Had a quick burst of borderline heavy snow with visibility right around 1/4 mile, but it has since shut off almost completely. Less than an inch so far.

Tomorrow's thing has actually been trending pretty nice – I mean, we're grading on a curve here – compared to a couple days ago. A mini-thump tomorrow afternoon followed by nearly 24 hours of snow showers, with the potential for a final quick burst on Wednesday as the inverted trough takes shape. 2-4" would be welcomed with open arms.

Today has been rather uncomfortable outside on account of the wind. I'd love to be able to report that it wasn't so bad if you were in the sun but, yeah, we're nowhere near that point yet.

Yeah, most of that stuff is going to dissipate in the next hour or two with the loss of daytime heating. That one squall approaching the escarpment looks potent, and may have a bit more staying power... we'll see

Snow four days in a row, what are you complaining about?!

Look on the bright side, we get to do another whole week of part sun with temps just warm enough to keep the ice thin, but not enough to be comfortable

It's kind of paradoxical. Blocking was strong enough to suppress the storm track into the deep south, with places like Austin seeing once in a generation snows, yet we're still running solidly and consistently AN. We'll be adding to those warm anomalies even more for at least the next week.

I've been keeping close tabs on the time of day at which the bleak stratus layer overwhelms the fleeting moments of morning sunshine. It was early today, with overcast taking hold by 9 am. Yesterday, the sun held out until after nearly noon. Sunday was nominal: 10:30 or so. (yes, this is a cry for help) A year ago today we were 68F and sunny.

The only observation I have is that the increasing daylight is now acutely noticeable in the evenings. Sort of belies the dismal reality that we're not even to the middle of January yet. We eager for spring.