Juliancolton

Whichever way maximizes time spent playing outside

Check out all that moisture over CT and the Sound headed our way.

Getting absolutely blitzed at home. Annihilated. Nuked. Smoked. You name it, it's happening here.

Went for a quick snowshoe in Lagrange to intercept that band, and I'm definitely impressed. Visibility just a couple hundred yards at times. I came back after 70 minutes and had to clear 3" of fresh powder off the truck.

I will confess that mby is close to falling behind the expectation vs. reality curve. I would have expected more than 3.5" by 2 pm. We stay the course though, that main band has some real staying power it appears.

Winds have been pretty much dead-calm here all day. Nice sheltered valley FTW. Those bands will weaken some as they surge north away from the 850mb moisture channel, but should still be good for 1-2"/hr rates imby. Looking forward to it.

Really beautiful footage and pictures. Keep them coming!

I think this verbiage is too harsh. A winter storm warning for "Heavy snow [...] of 14 to 18 inches" and "Winds gusting as high as 45 mph" conveys pretty much the same messaging as a blizzard warning. The prescribed preparedness checklist is also either very similar or identical. The public had all the resources they needed from the NWS to prepare for a blizzard-like storm.

See, this is the stuff I don't like... the same thing happened yesterday when someone posted Amy Freeze's forecast and we had to reflect on her hotness. Show a little bit of decorum, gentlemen. The weather boards are an enormous sausage fest – to our detriment – and we would do well to make any women feel more, not less, comfortable pursuing the study of meteorology, free from fear that they'll be judged by hotness and not skill.

I know just what you like. Not sure what's going down over in the California side of Dutchess, but snowfall rates have picked up nicely here, with impressive snow growth. That, in spite of the sparse radar echoes, is a good sign – the column is primed and ready to start dumping snow as soon as the warm front lifts north. It may still be several hours yet before the brunt of the action begins north of 84. That was well-modeled. On the 12z HRRR, our time to shine is 1 through 7 pm. What happens after that will determine whether it's a great storm or merely a good storm. If we dryslot before midnight as most of the hi-res models suggest, there probably won't be too many surprises with regard to final totals in our area. The GFS is much more friendly to the idea of meaningful snows right through tomorrow. It's a fun one to track!

My shih-tzu used to absolutely love the snow, but she's 18 now and has no patience for it anymore. Begrudgingly goes outside, but never lets the door out of her sight. Silly geezer. It bodes extremely well for anyone who already has 5-6" before the banding regime even really takes over. You can see radar drying out over the far interior as broad-scale ascent yields to coastal low dynamics, with convection blossoming around the low off the Mid-Atlantic coast. Transverse banding over and off NJ betrays the potent upper jet streak that will continue to drive cyclogenesis. Only about an inch here so far, the WAA snows were never going to impress up here. Buckle up folks, it's coming.

The most pathetic of snow grains have been spotted before midnight. Good night and good luck to all. Final call: HPN 17" SWF 19" MGJ 21.5" POU 18" Millbrook 14.5"

We knew this virga purgatory was coming, but it still grinds on the psyche a bit. No matter... distance makes the heart grow fonder.

Hopefully the mesos are being too cute with valley drying. That's a tough look for the eastern HV, and downright abominable for the CTV.

I'm serious! (and don't call me Shirley)

Light to moderate moonlight here. 19/10F

You're an odd fellow Seymour, but you steam a good ham!

I'm not going to bed until I see a flake. It's the principle of the thing. You can't have days and days if you don't even get to claim the first day.

In their defense, it's not so surprising. They also subject us to these atrocities...

Hi, neighbor! I'm just up the road in Millbrook. Still playing the waiting game.

Still waiting on first flakes at POU latitude. 19/9F sets the stage for a very cold start to the storm.

I haven't seen this posted yet. These are some pretty crazy totals west of the river as far as ensemble means go. The HREFs obviously aren't immune to QPF bombs from its members, but a product like this really illustrates just how sky-high the ceiling is for this event. Sadly I think the valley shadowing is real in eastern Dutchess. Maybe I'll end up just on the happy side of that gradient.

Yep, good as new now. I bought a new heat tape as well, so hopefully that prevents further issues.

Spent the afternoon replacing a burst pipe in the well house, fun stuff. That system always picks the best times to crap out on me.

Who needs the NAM when you have NWS Upton?