snowfan

Better this run. Colder. 984 L wrapped up off the VA Coast. We approve.

Here’s DC snowfall w trend line since 1942 when recording moved to DCA. There’s a trend of increased variability w big extremes....both high and low that you’ll see at many other reporting locations.

Nam coming in colder upstairs to start. This is nearish BWI.

Fair point on DC. 4 of the last 10 seasons w < 5”. That’s abysmal. DCA is also in THE absolutely worst spot in the area especially for marginal events, which are our speciality.

Disclaimer: not posting this to start a debate about CC. Just talking/analyzing numbers,trends,etc. I hope this is fair to discuss on here. Been seeing lots of talk on the board recently about just how it is to snow around here now. Below are the last 50 years of snowfall at BWI w average and median plotted. Our most recent 2 winters have sucked thus far to state the obvious, but highs and lows have and always will be there. Variability has increased w the obvious outliers sticking out like a sore thumb.....95-96, 02-03, and 09-10 on the high end. Our most recent 10 year period had the lowest avg (16.6”) of the 5 decades followed closely by 1970-1971 to 1979-1980 (17.2”).

Thanks for the heads up

Really the only post we need, tbh.

GFS doesn’t look like much in the way of frozen sans the favored areas. ETA 32 and rain will likely just result in glazed trees.

Funny.....cwg and their cya forecasts. And then they'll be among the first to take a dig at nws for busting.

Yeah, 850s bump north into PA but then drop back a bit w the arrival of heavier precip. Starting to key in on at least some front end frozen before light rain.

^^^that was amusing. Reminds me of scenes from shows where everyone is freaking the f out and there's one random dude standing in the middle still calmly explaining his thoughts.

LOL. Great....3-4 days without a breakdown.

Noticeably colder than the gfs. Obvs not as whacked out deep like the GFS was.

GFS showing 2.5"+ qpf for most. thru the end of next week.

NSFW

Let’s not forget a perfect circle. Tool is great, but a perfect circle also had some good stuff.

Charge your phone

Barely double digits is barely acceptable. Who knew.

Geesh....gfs swings are too wild to keep up with. SC to NC to VA and just keeps moving north. Lets pause movement for a few days.

Still waiting on a character limit for posts. One of these days....

Absolutely the direction we're heading.....

We excel at being organized. So should we use the January storm threat, January LR, or Jan 25th thread?

Yeah, but you get the sense that the mood is better just bc there's something to track.

Lol. We are so jaded. Even snow showers seems like a monumental feat.

Really enjoy the two long range threads and, weather will seems fun.