north pgh

Go Euro

Canadian no change. Tomorrow at noon we need to see the models come together somehow. Still a lot of uncertainty.

We need the Canadian to come to the GFS. I still think the NAM has precip issues that hopefully can come back tomorrow.

Nws will drop to advisory overnight if they have to.

Why does this bother you? Whether it is an advisory or warning it’s going to be slick driving.

Just an observation. 0z NAM has the low up in northern New Jersey at 1:00 am Friday and the Gfs and cmc have it in Virginia.

18Z NAM 18Z GFS This is what we are up against Thursday. Who wins?

This seems to always happen with the models lately. They can't come to agreement until the day of. It was weird looking at the 12z GFS and CEM today and seeing that they seem to be 100 miles apart. I'm guessing they will eventually all come together but as always we get sucked into the the best one for us (GFS this time) If it comes down to the rain scenario at 33 mixing and changing to snow let's hope we can score at least 2-4 somewhere in there whether sleet or snow. (This is why we all criticize NWS for being cautious because it is the best thing to do) But it never fails that we all get sucked in days before hahaha!

It’s been a while since we’ve had a big sleet storm. We usually get sleet more than the freezing rain which I will take. Hard to shovel though. Anyway I’ll take sleet over zrain and cold rain. Maybe some big flakes of snow mixing in with the sleet is always fun.

Liking the trends. Time to get some sleep. 12z tomorrow will be big.

CMC 12z Cmc 0Z

Yes time to head out for a while. Tonight's runs will see if the trends continue to look good or **** on our parade. Positive vibes please.

Okay thanks. I get it lol. I just don't think we need the worst case scenario posts ruining these threads. I'm just glad to be back in the game.

I have to respectfully disagree. When you worry about the jackpot city you will always be disappointed. When we received our 20 inch storms in the mid 90's there were people east of me that had 30. Did I worry about that? Not at all. Just trying to stay optimistic.

Canadian is south too. Not as much snow as GFS but it looks to be more snow than in previous runs and maybe a 4 plus or so at end. I know we have three days but you can't not like the trending.

You know what at this point if Youngstown gets 15 inches for us to get 8 I will take it.

It's only Monday but the trends are really good. The cold high pushing down the cold from Canada will at least keep this from cutting. Let's see what the Canadian says. Fingers crossed.

Hey I will take it. As of yesterday we were looking at maybe a lot of rain and sleet and very little backend snow. At this point I will take 2-4 and up. No disappointment here because I wasn't expecting this to be our storm anyway.

GFS looking good. Serve it up right now.

Canadian has more mix too. Like everyone else I’d take 2 inches of sleet over any amount of freezing rain. Ideally I’d take a little rain then sleet then snow on the back end.

Let’s hope it’s a trend. This model is currently on its own.

Nice outside this morning.

3 degrees currently at my house.