snowfan789
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Everything posted by snowfan789
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There are a lot of years that fell more than 10” short of average. So, the data indicates a heightened potential for more snow relative to normal after October.
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Do you mean snow that’s relatively low in water content when you say drier than normal? Odds of an above average snowfall season are almost 75% based on historical data and Denver receiving over 10” in October. There are no guarantees, of course.
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Well for October: https://www.weather5280.com/blog/2019/10/30/third-snowiest-october-for-stapleton-4th-boulder-5th-colorado-springs/
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Forecasting seasonal snowfall in the CO Front Range other than during strong El Niño and La Niña winters (generally snowy and not snowy respectively) seems to be unusually difficult. What I understand to be your top analog years, Raindance, average out to slightly below average snowfall in Denver but those seasons individually ranged from quite bad to very good.
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Thanks for explaining. Look forward to seeing your forecast. FWIW, some of those analog years you mentioned featured above average snowfall for Denver — 83-84 in particular. So one can still reasonably hope, for now...
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What are the implications for the mountain west?
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Happy for you. Seriously. We didn’t get nearly that much due west of Denver near Golden. More generally, what a horrible pattern since roughly early July onwards with a few exceptions. So hot and dry. Glad this isn’t winter as I’d take hot and dry now over any other time of the year. Still, not good for the flora (naturally occurring, don’t care about green lawns in this semi-arid climate) and hope this doesn’t persist.
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It is snowing heavily through much of the Denver metro area. I’m starting to wonder if there will be power outages.
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Any reports from the Berkshires? I used to live in Williamstown and am thinking that corridor may have taken the grand prize for the storm.
