Like I just posted in the main thread, any model that cuts this up into NYS or CT for that matter is wrong. It will go ENE from NJ out toward CC. The air to the North is a brick wall of sub zero Temps pressing down. While rich with moisture, this is not a strong low. If it passes just S of NYC, you will have a freezing rain issue in Putnam after a good dump ofsome snow and a lot of Sleet. If it comes off South Jersey it would probably be a more snow/sleet deal vs freezing rain. My gut still says this tics a bit South at the end once the magnatude of the cold is realized by models that don't start with GFS