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Stormpc

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Everything posted by Stormpc

  1. Stormpc
    First flurries reported in currituck. 24°.
  2. Stormpc
    HRRRRRR also likes the south side and Northeast North carolina.
  3. Stormpc
    About ready to start here in Currituck. Got dark and ceiling is fuzzy. North winds need to turn NE and inject some Atlantic moisture.
  4. Stormpc
    Dry air is eating away the north side of the precipitation over HR/NE NC. I see patches if blue skies above my area. Probably won't get going till afternoon (if at all!!). Not sure anyone in our region gets 6 inches! Maybe 3-4 southside into NC. Not looking like our storm.
  5. Stormpc
    That should fill in once the coastal gets going unless the upper low robs them. I bet they get about 4 inches.
  6. Stormpc
    Not sure its a bust yet. Let it play out. Good returns streaming up eastern NC headed towards HR. Too bad this became a double barrel mess. No capture/consolidation of L's. Nowcast time and it looks like snow is on my doorstep. Let's enjoy whatever comes!
  7. Stormpc
    I wouldn't change any forecast that I would have made earlier this afternoon. 6 to 10 + South Side into North carolina. 4-7 Southern peninsula. 2-5 Williamsburg North to the airport.
  8. Stormpc
    12 hours to go time and basically no two models have a similar or same conclusion. They are completely spread out. This is a complete guess. Odd. Something outside of what we have seen in all of the model depictions is going to happen. I guess you just take a broad brush of everything and take a wild guess.
  9. Stormpc
    No doubt. You're right. Something is going to bust badly.
  10. Stormpc
    Its on its own. Who knows but I doubt that outcome
  11. Stormpc
    I don't think so. Probably no reports of 3+ inches of snow north of Toano. But I'm rooting for it!
  12. Stormpc
    You're looking at the nam map. Look at the one eyewall posted
  13. Stormpc
    Mixed feelings. Gets it done for the south side into my area but doesn't extend that far up the peninsula Beyond Williamsburg
  14. Stormpc
    Its out in the SE forum.
  15. Stormpc
    How can anybody not be happy with that map? Almost ridiculous that the lowest total in North Carolina is 6.2. 18Z GFS
  16. Stormpc
    He won't post his last call Till 9:00 p.m. tomorrow night.
  17. Stormpc
    Going to be a busy few weeks into February.
  18. Stormpc
    The northern extent of the precipitation field always seems to overperform and stretch further north and west than forecast. Models are ever so slightly creeping further Northwest the last 24 hours. For the most part. We can still see more adjustment today into tonight
  19. Stormpc
    And it pushes a little further north into Virginia giving us a little breathing room up north.
  20. Stormpc
    Anything past hr 68??
  21. Stormpc
    I hope its not an NC/SC exclusive event. I don't think it will. Still time.
  22. Stormpc
    Bad run for Central and anywhere in Southern Va. But with such a tight gradient, at least in HR, all it takes is a 50 mile bump and that's doable in 36 hours.
  23. Stormpc
    "These bands of heavy snow in eastern NC andsoutheast VA depict 700-500mb lapse rates >6.5C/km Saturdayafternoon and evening. It is here where not only are 2"/hr snowfallrates achievable, but so is the likelihood for thundersnow. Theintense vertical velocities in eastern NC and southeast VA may...."
  24. Stormpc
    So far most all 18Z have trended NW. Not a huge jump but maybe the NW trend has begun. It should be subtle thru tomorrow 12z. But hope its there.
  25. Stormpc
    Been in Currituck for 8 years now. I've had three storms of 8+ Plus. Not including last years 13-14 inch Feb storm. We don't do much nickel and diming around here.
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