Jump to content

Stormpc

Members
  • Posts

    3,191
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Stormpc

  1. I'm talking more about the far Northwest and Northern extent of what the 12K is showing. That's completely on its own. There's no doubt we're mixing along the immediate Coast but the precip field looks well overdone
  2. Because the 12K is probably wrong. Has zero support from any other guidance. It happens. I think 3K is probably well overdone as well. I'm rooting for it but it's probably not going to happen.
  3. Talk about a NAM bomb. That's going to juice up every forum from Boston through the southeast. Of course it's suspect. Even the 3K looks overdone when comparing other models. But let's see what the rest of the 12 Z Suite brings us.
  4. I'll take the 3K please. That 12K is a disaster for anyone south of chesapeake. Or a godsend. Depending on your perspective.
  5. That ULL will have great ratios usually and will blow around a ton with those winds on the back side. That's going to create one heck of a mess Thursday morning
  6. I like the storm tracker 8 forecast the best.
  7. THANK YOU @ Ric Airport. 6Z Euro definitely nudged Northwest but only slightly. Trimmed the snow on the southeastern edge and expanded a bit Northwest up the peninsula and towards NOVA but it's probably negligible at this point.
  8. Hi @conway7305, do you have a pic of the 6z Euro?
  9. How about that energy swinging through later in the morning into the afternoon? That's starting to show up on a few of the models
  10. Improvement on the southern fringe too with just a hair less sleet. Colder further south than 18z
  11. NAM is an outlier for sure. WARM and north. We'll see...
  12. Fronto banding on the northwest side through Richmond and west. The American models hate Northeast North Carolina. Maybe right
  13. You are a damn encyclopedia @Ric Airport. I forget the details of every storm Within a few weeks. Gearing up for the 18z runs. I really hope this pulls a lot of our folks back in.
  14. Before the 1996 blizzard, Richmond was the jackpot zone for days while the rest of us toward DC (Arlington at that time) were supposed to be on the Northern fringe. Not until about 24 hours before the event did everything change and move north of Richmond into the DC area and west. Big short range busts no matter what year / decade or how many upgrades are done. It's a such an inexact science.
  15. Everything you do here is much appreciated. Where are you moving to? I know you mentioned it but I forget
  16. I was hoping it was going to come South a little bit 2 days ago but not to the extent where I'm on the far Northern Edge. Jesus. Still time. Focus in on the mesos
  17. Exactly what the 3K nam was showing and the results at the end of its range at 60. Nice waa thump for all
  18. Any way you slice it it looks like there's no way this is not going to be a solid thump from Newport News through Chesapeake. It's the northern and southern edges that are vacillating
  19. NAM 3K looks great. The 12 is Meh, but again its at its end of range and usefulness. Very interested in the 18z 3k. So far, so good 12z....
  20. I think it's coming back starting 12 Z. That Northwest Edge is going to expand and the southeast extent is going to shrink. Just going by what we've seen in the final 36 to 48 Hours leading up to events.
  21. Thank you @Ric Airport. Sucks at this point looking at the situation for our Richmond friends. Hopefully the bump NW starts during the 12z suite. RATIOS are going to be huge on the northwest side of this thing. A half an inch of precip can easily lead to 8 in of snow.
×
×
  • Create New...