CoastalWx
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Everything posted by CoastalWx
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I don’t know if this setup will produce that, but heavy rains sure.
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Better LLJ too.
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Yep, there’s gonna be periods where it might be dry and not much going on, and then absolute downpours at other times.
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Not much over 3 days
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99 problems but the atmospheric pressure ain’t one?
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Naked swirl
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When the 3k is well northeast, might have to toss.
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Yeah, this thing is more baroclinic in my opinion with maybe a hint of some tropical characteristics. Looks like 12 ZHRRR is also getting a clue and not wrapping this towards wallops Island.
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He’s probably seen more cool weather in 13 years than I saw in over 20 years.
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Kid thinks category 1 or bust.
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Models definitely got a lot wetter overnight with some of these sort of north jogs.
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Edibles?
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NAMs are nasty here. Definitely increased winds from 00z.
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No clue. Li is a given and likely srn CT.
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And then some
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??
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Nams seemed like they wanted to at 6z, but they still seem a bit lost.
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Euro and euro AI more north before the west turn. Seems to be a subtle trend at 00z. That’s more of an impact for SNE. Hope it continues.
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Both NAMs figuring it out now. Not trying to bury it immediately towards WAL.
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Hrrr trying to wrap this towards Wallops Island lol. That’s cute.
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OKX should have a high wind warning for LI and maybe even srn CT. JMHO.
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I don’t think it will get convection near the center type deal. It will have some tropical characteristics, but this is more of a hybrid transitioning to a more classic nor’easter. These happen right into October. It’s unusual though to have something like this so early.
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Well you are right, cyclogenesis is complicated by nature. But when the stakes are high, it makes it seem more complicated then it is. If that makes sense.
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Well in this case there’s a ton going on. System with tropical characteristics within and upper level low.
