I know you and I have mostly oaks, but I was looking at pictures of my niece at my parents house yesterday and like all the trees are bare thete. And then I look around my yard and there’s still tons of leaves on the oaks although a bunch have come down. I definitely feel like those temps below 32 will do it.
Not sure why NAM and HRRR like to have a micropenis inversion on CAA west winds, but it's like 2mb thick lol. Other than that, it's a violent top boundary layer. GFS mixes quite well and is violent. We shall see.
I haven’t used the heat yet aside from some space heaters mostly because I just got a new oil tank yesterday and didn’t wanna get oil… But it really hasn’t been too bad other than a few chilly mornings. Another mild fall.