With convection we know how things like to peal to the right. The hope is you get the big lift coinciding with just enough cold. I’m not even sure sleet is a big deal in borderline areas with 925s not that cold. Almost either rain or snow.
Before he tries to put words in my mouth again, I guess it’s possible it could be major there… But right now a lot of the red flags for major icing there on checked off. At least IMO.
The pros of icing for Kevin are a stout northeast wind and not stagnant air. The cons are that I don’t really think it’ll be much colder than like 31.5 maybe. So I don’t know how much icing you could get maybe it’s right around 32.