CoastalWx

So I have to look, but from 1/24 to 2/24 we had over 100” here. Won’t see that again.

Yeah that nice event after the 96 blizz was max pack here.

1/12 hurt. Rain after an inch of slop.

Hopefully something better than the 12z gfs and Canadian.

I actually kind of get screwed on SoP deals, especially the ones that seem to love CT-RI-TAN. I have decent latitude and I tend to pork in those events. March 15 was just scrapes and scraps here. More or less pack refreshers.

All the events we had during the epic stretch were cold events. Blue hill shines in the marginal events where that 630’ elevation really helps them stand out. The two events that really stood out to me were the longer duration event and the event during Valentine’s Day and the day after. But I was most surprised at the long duration event. They were removed from the heaviest echoes for awhile and had close to what I had. I find that hard to believe. There was no physical reason for them to have more. This isn’t an upslope deal either. Also heard from a former observer that they have peculiar ways of measuring because of wind and throws a little uncertainty…..but naturally I get that because I have wind issues too. But to have almost 25” more than I had does not make sense to me. In a winter like that the error bars are fairly high so like I said….whatever….but as someone who feels like they can sniff out oddities…that one surprised me.

Might be close. Hingham coop had 5.5” more in 14-15.

I’d like that Tuesday deal not to rip well into Canada. It’s going to go north, but would like to avoid this ending in 35F drizzle.

I think it was just a caveat, but it didn’t seem like it was a big concern.

I asked @OceanStWx about that and supposedly it had better results over GFS op (early testing anyways) but didn’t perform as well in anomalous events which one would expect when a model is training on past events. The other thing he said is that each vertical level is trained independently, so it’s possible the 500mb pattern may not match what you’d think to see for MSLP.

Yeah I can role with that. I worked that storm so it’s the only one where I felt that I could be off by 3-5”. I just remember thinking holy shit did I really get like 33-34”? Especially when I woke up to 3-4” more after that burst of snow we had from 8-11pm on the last night. So maybe I was near 130. It’s super tough in my spot when we have wind.

Think Norwell was the sweet spot but probably not 150”. Only storm where I might have undermeasured was that 3 day event in Feb.

I still have an * at Blue Hill but whatever. It was a shit ton of snow.

Yep. And then straight up Kali Ma ripped my heart out with you, Dendrite, and Powderfreak cheering on the background with arms flailing in the air.

115” of meh.

I feel a little better overall today vs a few days ago seeing that -NAO. It started to look a little dire with an overall +AO.

Thats nice work @The 4 Seasons

Will brings up a good point. With the models trying to torch January with a SE ridge, we’ll need that to persist. That stupid conus ridge isn’t lasting forever.

Meanwhile euro had a nice SWFE. I’d hit it.

You would think something would work out.

Cape will be inverted I think.

I wouldn’t worry too much this far out. Just real interesting to see. That subtle shift west in the central Conus ridge hopefully helps to keep systems from shunting south.

Congrats Chatham and MVY. Never thought I’d say that in December lol.

Op runs go insane with the blocking in early January.

Hopefully enough blocking to give BWI a 2’ storm like the 6z gfs has and cirrus for us.