We had two days of decently BN 850 temps Friday and Saturday. Then N to AN through today. Another mild down Thursday into Friday and then we AN through September aside from a mild down for a day or two.
Departures waning though each day since 8/1. Should be near to AN by Saturday. Then furnace as far as the eye can see. -1.5 for the new 30yr normal is like N to above in the 1980s lol. Smoke hasn't helped either. So basically you need onshore flow and dense smoke to stay BN.
I could see 50s inland perhaps if its W to WNW flow. You'll notice anywhere near the coast (especially south coast) dewpoints are much higher with SW flow off the water.
The irony is that he’s telling us about all this cool air over the northeast and that map shows exactly the opposite. I don’t think anyone was disputing a weak cool front over the planes.
That EPS pattern is not one to get a cane up here. Ridge is too far east over the plains and you need a deeper trough a little bit further west than where the mean is showing it right now. Probably better for florida or the southeast.