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CoastalWx

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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. CoastalWx
    Maybe I got a little excited and it’s more like .3” At this point I’m going out and just dealing with it.
  2. CoastalWx
    There was definitely bright banding, but it was moderate rain earlier. Came down good for awhile. I’m just more annoyed than anything.
  3. CoastalWx
    About .25” here. Maybe a tenth left.
  4. CoastalWx
    This would have been fluff. Probably will end up .35-.4ish. At least T-Day looks good and we were right to toss the gfs from yesterday.
  5. CoastalWx
    This is terrible. What a bust.
  6. CoastalWx
    Could have been a nice 4-6”.
  7. CoastalWx
    Yep but by then it’s too late. Too late Luther, Too late!
  8. CoastalWx
    Appears that way. But I just casually looked yesterday. Maybe there were some north trends or things we look for winter like deformation areas etc.
  9. CoastalWx
    I wish i looked harder. Maybe there were red flags. AI was one of them.
  10. CoastalWx
    That was also an 18hr forecast. Kill the horse, send it to the glue factory.
  11. CoastalWx
    I remember seeing AI much further north and was thinking it was wrong. Let’s replace us all with machines baby.
  12. CoastalWx
    Nope. 12z had nothing yesterday.
  13. CoastalWx
    Man let’s get these busts in winter.
  14. CoastalWx
    Gfs had nothing yesterday. AI ftw
  15. CoastalWx
    Mann Canada is cold on the guidance. Let the highs build down and the CJ‘s began after the first week of December.
  16. CoastalWx
    Actually, that was a nice coastal. We take that.
  17. CoastalWx
  18. CoastalWx
    I didn’t see any change. Stop looking at twitter. Euro had a nice SWFE
  19. CoastalWx
    Where the eff did this come from?
  20. CoastalWx
    The stuff I saw showed a big ridge over Santa at 10mb. That’s what I kept saying talk to me when it gets to 50mb. I agree with the warm intrusion as you noted. But otherwise big effing deal. We see these intrusions every winter. I don’t have access to the eps stuff so maybe someone can post it.
  21. CoastalWx
    All the whacking to stratospheric wind reverses and weeklies don’t show much NAO ridging. Love it. Gradient flow it is.
  22. CoastalWx
    Both progs are really cold in Canada. I see Eduggs is in Jersey so I see why he might be looking for something a little different. I don’t mind being near the battle ground with SE Canada BN in temps.
  23. CoastalWx
    The euro stuff he had. I think some gfs stuff is out there.
  24. CoastalWx
    On both of those ensembles, the EPS and the AIEPS, I see a ridge off the West Coast and part of a trough dipping into the southwest corner of the US. I don’t really see any red flags? If anything that trough over the southwest will help shoot some impulses northeast because otherwise if we didn’t have that, I think we might have suppression working its way down.
  25. CoastalWx
    The ensembles show our source region in Southeast Canada cold. We haven’t seen anything like that in years. I’m not looking for a KU pattern just something that often chances and I think this one will.
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