Man looking at the hi res, there's a mini warm seclusion with this below 850. Sort of adds some lower level instability near the coast. Might get wild for an hour or two there for sure. We'd be dropping pantalones in the winter with this.
Interesting thing with this is that the cold doesn’t come from this ULL. Loop 925-850 temps. It rips in from a leftover ULL to the east. Just wild shit all around.
When it pushes west, there is usually troughing here and the wavelengths aren’t yet mature meaning have not broadened like they do in the summer when temp gradients aren’t significant. So with shorter wavelengths you can risk cutoffs developing.
Even the ensembles hint at cut off potential after it warms up later next week. With the ridge pushing west into the plains again it does open the potential up. Still early for deep summer pattern.