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CoastalWx

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by CoastalWx

  1. Comes down to rain and mixing. If it rains it lowers temps and limits mixing. Ideally you want a break between 11-3p, but they’ll be times of downpours.
  2. Not stealing any joy, just saying what it shows. Hopefully it’s all further south.
  3. What? They always underperform relative to clown maps. But this one may have a little daytime heating help. Otherwise meh.
  4. I’m not Will but it was a big deviation from the blocking that models showed yesterday and last night. Wouldn’t react yet, but hope it comes back at 00z. Recall the op runs last night showing snow in NC lol.
  5. 18z Nam shows just that. Almost like a WF moving in with kink in isobars at 15z.
  6. BOX upgraded srn RI and along cstl MA to HWW. But imho, that logic should include the rest of SE MA
  7. You can see the temps bounce up and down on the hrrr. Almost looks like a batch of heavy rain late morning ahead of LLJ core and then more scattered after until fropa. Any breaks in between and sky brightness will help boost temps a tick or two. Hrrr is like 61 here lol.
  8. He’s around. But in his defense, the NWS is really getting hosed. It’s a tough situation for all of them and I’ll just leave it at that.
  9. Those runs were fairly mild though. I’m going to pretend 12z didn’t happen. It’s definitely volatile.
  10. Not sure what got into the 12z guidance, but vomit worthy today. Hope that changes.
  11. One little change here or there is like a 30F difference for us lol.
  12. Mild Christmas Day on euro. Just like the ones we used to know.
  13. Yeah agree. Luckily it’s cold to start out, but shift that south a bit.
  14. Hopefully euro and EPS hold because the other guidance taking a shit on winter at 12z.
  15. So I have to look, but from 1/24 to 2/24 we had over 100” here. Won’t see that again.
  16. Yeah that nice event after the 96 blizz was max pack here.
  17. Hopefully something better than the 12z gfs and Canadian.
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