This winter has been exhausting lol. Between hoping for things to work out because the last several have sucked, to the big one actually working out in late January, to the ones that did not work out, and now this lol. Woof.
I think rate matters because as lows rapidly deepen they tend to get pulled to the H5 low. And in this case because it can’t move much in latitude it gets pulled west before the whole thing unravels and it gets booted ENE.
My biggest worry is that this matures way south and scoots ENE. So all these calls about models being west aren’t going to mean shit because of this setup. This needs to mature off the Delmarva and move NE and not blow over Wallopw Island.