If that low somehow hangs around and maybe teams up with the Saturday thing like some models show then perhaps we get decent rains. I just have a hard time buying those amounts when I’m sure that complex tomorrows drives the moisture south.
I feel like I know how to analyze the NAM (both 3km and 12km). The RRFS just seems unstable run to run. Version 2.0 is better and it’s on platforms like Weatherfront for example.
Now that the ponds and reservoirs are the lowest they've been all summer, they bring it only to abnormally dry. Meanwhile it was severe drought when everything was full. Shoot those products to the sun.